TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118257
Played Sep 12Finished
Radoslaw Malinowski
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711711911––
Maciej Kolek
Away
1.42
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Malinowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
116711711911––
H2H Radoslaw Malinowski 5–4 Maciej Kolek Maciej Kolek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:37What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Malinowski 1399 vs Kolek 1659
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 260 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malinowski 0% vs Kolek 80%
Kolek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malinowski 40% vs Kolek 70%
Kolek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Malinowski -5 · Kolek -1
Malinowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malinowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalinowski 2.60 / Kolek 1.42
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kolek)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13118257
Malinowski2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 34 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Kolek1.42
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 270 of 447
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it81% 203 of 251
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMalinowski5wins
AwayKolek4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderMalinowski leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMalinowski80%4 of 5
AwayKolek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Malinowski5Kolek4n = 9Malinowski took 5 of 9
S2Malinowski2Kolek7n = 9Kolek took 7 of 9
S3Malinowski7Kolek2n = 9Malinowski took 7 of 9
S4Malinowski4Kolek3n = 7Malinowski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricMalinowskiKolekM − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.235.9+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalinowskiKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 512 vs 686 / 138147.9%49.7%245 / 512 vs 686 / 1381Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekMalinowski 2.60/Kolek 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.3%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 25 · 13:50R. Malinowski30681151M. Kolek4011117113
WMay 1 · 12:40R. Malinowski4111811113M. Kolek27911341
WApr 18 · 03:30R. Malinowski331111113M. Kolek196490
WMar 21 · 19:35R. Malinowski44711115103M. Kolek3911951132
LMar 6 · 17:40R. Malinowski32951171M. Kolek4111118113
LJan 17 · 02:35R. Malinowski2711880M. Kolek351311113
WJan 17 · 24:05R. Malinowski3911611113M. Kolek33711691
WJan 9 · 24:50R. Malinowski4012611113M. Kolek361011871
LJan 8 · 22:30R. Malinowski49119111262M. Kolek538111310113
R. Malinowski10
WSep 12 · 13:50K. Rudomina1.80581141R. Malinowski1.8611119113LSep 12 · 13:00D. Solilo1.5011119113R. Malinowski2.30841191LSep 12 · 12:10R. Malinowski4.206870G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 09:45G. Kesik1.90111011113R. Malinowski1.80612761LSep 12 · 08:30K. Rudomina1.801111113R. Malinowski1.867990LSep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski4.205990G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.8611611113R. Malinowski1.80511691LSep 12 · 04:50K. Wisniewski1.27812118113R. Malinowski3.25111051172WSep 12 · 03:20D. Solilo1.54101111882R. Malinowski2.25128511113LAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113
M. Kolek10
LSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo1.8511118113M. Kolek1.85371181WSep 13 · 10:55G. Kesik2.65631121M. Kolek1.4011118113LSep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80119511113M. Kolek1.3481111982WSep 12 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.506116121M. Kolek2.5011511143WSep 12 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.53411111172M. Kolek2.38118913113LSep 12 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.36111188113M. Kolek3.0068111192LSep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61111282113M. Kolek2.20610111152LSep 12 · 15:00M. Marchlewski1.731011115113M. Kolek2.0012561162WSep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.5513580M. Kolek1.451511113LSep 12 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz1.80127811113M. Kolek1.90101111882
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