TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119144
Played Sep 12Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210711811118118
Maciej Kolek
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1210711811118118
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 20–17 Maciej Kolek Maciej Kolek has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:21What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Poliniewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Poliniewicz
Correct
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1692 vs Kolek 1648
Poliniewicz
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 60% vs Kolek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 60% vs Kolek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz +2 · Kolek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.80 / Kolek 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13119144
Poliniewicz1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 331 of 465
Up 2–0, closes it95% 145 of 153
Up 1–0, closes it85% 241 of 285
Kolek1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 188 of 469
Down 0–1, comes back22% 61 of 278
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoliniewicz6wins
AwayKolek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz66.7%4 of 6
AwayKolek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz6Kolek4n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10
S2Poliniewicz5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S3Poliniewicz7Kolek3n = 10Poliniewicz took 7 of 10
S4Poliniewicz3Kolek6n = 9Kolek took 6 of 9
S5Poliniewicz3Kolek2n = 5Poliniewicz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczKolekP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.539.7+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime1249 / 2114 vs 687 / 138359.1%49.7%1249 / 2114 vs 687 / 1383Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.80/Kolek 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 05:50G. Poliniewicz3811271172M. Kolek49911117113
WJul 15 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz45611116113M. Kolek4311771172
WJul 15 · 06:00G. Poliniewicz4211512143M. Kolek3851110121
WJul 14 · 07:40G. Poliniewicz341112113M. Kolek2261060
LJul 14 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz391198111M. Kolek3831111133
LJun 19 · 10:05G. Poliniewicz34711971M. Kolek4211911113
WJun 19 · 07:40G. Poliniewicz3711411113M. Kolek32611871
WJun 19 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz531111119113M. Kolek4213551182
WJun 15 · 05:40G. Poliniewicz45116116113M. Kolek4161171162
LJun 15 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz48911111072M. Kolek50118812113
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 12 · 14:35D. Solilo3.10611811113G. Poliniewicz1.2911811982WSep 12 · 12:10R. Malinowski4.206870G. Poliniewicz1.161111113WSep 12 · 10:55G. Kesik1.7511116262G. Poliniewicz1.90641111113LSep 12 · 09:20K. Rudomina4.001110911113G. Poliniewicz1.1891211442LSep 12 · 08:05K. Wisniewski1.8011611123G. Poliniewicz1.905119101WSep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski4.205990G. Poliniewicz1.161111113WSep 12 · 05:15D. Solilo2.7081611982G. Poliniewicz1.401114811113WSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113WSep 12 · 03:00K. Rudomina3.5511441152G. Poliniewicz1.25911118113LSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113
M. Kolek10
WSep 13 · 13:25M. Kolek1.241191313133M. Piecowski3.404111115112LSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo1.8511118113M. Kolek1.85371181WSep 13 · 10:55G. Kesik2.65631121M. Kolek1.4011118113LSep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80119511113M. Kolek1.3481111982WSep 12 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.506116121M. Kolek2.5011511143WSep 12 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.53411111172M. Kolek2.38118913113LSep 12 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.36111188113M. Kolek3.0068111192LSep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61111282113M. Kolek2.20610111152LSep 12 · 15:00M. Marchlewski1.731011115113M. Kolek2.0012561162WSep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.5513580M. Kolek1.451511113
Upcoming Matches
G. Poliniewicz1 of 1 neutral
M. Kolek3 of 10 neutral
Sep 13 · 14:35M. Kolek1.29T. Piotrowski3.05—Sep 13 · 16:05M. Kolek2.63F. Mlynarski1.44—Sep 13 · 17:20M. Kolek1.50G. Kesik2.50—Sep 13 · 18:30M. Kolek1.91L. Pietraszko1.80—Sep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek2.12K. Staszczyk1.59—Sep 14 · 15:25M. Kolek—K. Staszczyk——Sep 14 · 16:05M. Kolek—J. Witkowski——Sep 14 · 17:20M. Kolek—K. Kostyk——Sep 14 · 18:30M. Kolek—A. Linek——Sep 14 · 19:40M. Kolek—K. Rudomina——
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