TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115869
Played Sep 12Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161210811211115
Maciej Kolek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Maciej Kolek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 7-3
Point 81 set 5, 7-3 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 54.0%
81 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 14–12 Maciej Kolek Maciej Kolek has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:15What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Jendrzejewski
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1612 vs Kolek 1636
Kolek
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Kolek 20%
Jendrzejewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 30% vs Kolek 50%
Kolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -1 · Kolek -3
Kolek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.61 / Kolek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13115869
Jendrzejewski1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 147 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it97% 71 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it81% 116 of 143
Kolek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 188 of 469
Down 0–1, comes back22% 61 of 278
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski5wins
AwayKolek5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski80%4 of 5
AwayKolek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S2Jendrzejewski4Kolek6n = 10Kolek took 6 of 10
S3Jendrzejewski6Kolek4n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S4Jendrzejewski6Kolek4n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S5Jendrzejewski3Kolek4n = 7Kolek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiKolekJ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.442.7+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 722 vs 687 / 138548.9%49.6%353 / 722 vs 687 / 1385Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.61/Kolek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 22:05P. Jendrzejewski3911116113M. Kolek29791121
LSep 4 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski4689111172M. Kolek46111167113
WAug 30 · 16:55P. Jendrzejewski4111811113M. Kolek33911581
LAug 6 · 21:50P. Jendrzejewski45710111162M. Kolek49111287113
WAug 5 · 23:20P. Jendrzejewski48118117113M. Kolek4571181182
LAug 5 · 20:30P. Jendrzejewski49711111192M. Kolek49117137113
WJul 23 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski511110118113M. Kolek4451281182
WJul 22 · 22:05P. Jendrzejewski529111110113M. Kolek4411861272
LJul 22 · 15:00P. Jendrzejewski31117761M. Kolek4071111113
LJul 4 · 24:45P. Jendrzejewski4261191152M. Kolek48119116113
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 12 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.6711711133P. Jendrzejewski2.106119111WSep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.5011116113J. Mitas2.50771151WSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980LSep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.838950K. Staszczyk1.831111113LSep 11 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski1.531191111102M. Marchlewski2.38131159123WSep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.911212113T. Filbrandt1.80101090LSep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44711121162J. Mitas2.63116143113LSep 11 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.6191111782M. Marchlewski2.20117511113LSep 11 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.50881141K. Strowski1.5011115113LSep 11 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8371161192M. Nowalinski1.83118114113
M. Kolek10
LSep 12 · 15:00M. Marchlewski1.731011115113M. Kolek2.0012561162WSep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.5513580M. Kolek1.451511113LSep 12 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz1.80127811113M. Kolek1.90101111882LSep 12 · 11:20K. Rudomina2.30411116113M. Kolek1.5211791182WSep 12 · 10:30R. Malinowski2.60117791M. Kolek1.4261111113LSep 12 · 09:00D. Solilo2.001111113M. Kolek1.717860WSep 11 · 13:50K. Staszczyk1.8041111442M. Kolek1.90116711113WSep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.70381191M. Kolek1.9511118113WSep 11 · 12:10M. Kolek2.4091111113K. Wisniewski1.47114461WSep 11 · 10:30M. Kolek2.5512114113M. Nowalinski1.421091151
Upcoming Matches
P. Jendrzejewski
Sep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—Sep 12 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.53M. Marchlewski2.38—Sep 12 · 19:40P. Jendrzejewski2.20J. Kuzmicz1.61—Sep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53M. Marchlewski2.38—Sep 12 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski2.10F. Mlynarski1.67—Sep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.73D. Jadam1.91—Sep 13 · 24:10P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—
M. Kolek2 of 10 neutral
Sep 12 · 17:20M. Kolek3.00J. Kuzmicz1.36—Sep 12 · 19:15M. Kolek2.38T. Filbrandt1.53—Sep 12 · 20:05M. Kolek2.38F. Mlynarski1.53—Sep 13 · 09:20M. Kolek—P. Maruszak——Sep 13 · 10:55M. Kolek—G. Kesik——Sep 13 · 12:10M. Kolek—D. Solilo——Sep 13 · 13:25M. Kolek—M. Piecowski——Sep 13 · 14:35M. Kolek—T. Piotrowski——Sep 13 · 15:25M. Kolek—D. Jadam——Sep 13 · 16:05M. Kolek—F. Mlynarski——
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