TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113627
Played Sep 11Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811115411––
Karol Strowski
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:36 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeKarol Strowski to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Karol Strowski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Karol Strowski at 58.6%
69 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 6–13 Karol Strowski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Strowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Strowski
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1631 vs Strowski 1844
Strowski
Correct
both rated, 212 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 60% vs Strowski 80%
Strowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 50% vs Strowski 80%
Strowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -1 · Strowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Strowski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 2.50 / Strowski 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Strowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13113627
Jendrzejewski2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 85 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 58
Strowski1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 269 of 403
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it85% 185 of 219
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski4wins
AwayStrowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski50%4 of 8
AwayStrowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski8Strowski2n = 10Jendrzejewski took 8 of 10
S2Jendrzejewski5Strowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Jendrzejewski6Strowski4n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S4Jendrzejewski1Strowski6n = 7Strowski took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiStrowskiJ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.933.5+2.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiStrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 713 vs 813 / 139149.1%58.5%350 / 713 vs 813 / 1391Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrowskiJendrzejewski 2.50/Strowski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Strowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 3 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski—112881K. Strowski—61111113
LJun 17 · 15:25P. Jendrzejewski—114941K. Strowski—91111113
WJun 16 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski—1111113K. Strowski—5980
LApr 16 · 16:20P. Jendrzejewski—981171K. Strowski—11116113
WApr 14 · 19:45P. Jendrzejewski—111112113K. Strowski—371461
LApr 10 · 19:45P. Jendrzejewski—1110481K. Strowski—31211113
WApr 8 · 16:20P. Jendrzejewski—1111113K. Strowski—6570
WMar 19 · 19:35P. Jendrzejewski—1111113K. Strowski—7450
LMar 17 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski—11811892K. Strowski—211911113
LMar 12 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski—71111682K. Strowski—117811113
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 11 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8371161192M. Nowalinski1.83118114113WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113
K. Strowski10
WSep 11 · 16:30K. Strowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008780LSep 11 · 15:45K. Strowski1.91671141K. Wloczko1.8011117113WSep 11 · 14:10K. Strowski2.7511112113M. Jadczyk1.40961181WSep 11 · 12:55K. Strowski3.0081111113M. Olejnik1.36119781WSep 11 · 11:15K. Strowski1.9181113113J. Kuzmicz1.801191191WSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 7 · 19:40K. Strowski1.911251012113K. Glazowski1.801011121082LSep 7 · 18:30K. Strowski1.5781111662K. Kapik2.25118911113WSep 7 · 17:20K. Strowski1.221111811113K. Kostyk4.0049111332WSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113
Upcoming Matches
P. Jendrzejewski2 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.61M. Marchlewski2.20—Sep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44J. Mitas2.63—Sep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—Sep 11 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61M. Marchlewski2.20—Sep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.83K. Staszczyk1.83—Sep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—Sep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.44J. Mitas2.63—Sep 12 · 15:45P. Jendrzejewski—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski—M. Kolek——Sep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski—T. Filbrandt——
K. Strowski
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