TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113307
Played Sep 11Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711118611114911
Maciej Nowalinski
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:45 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Maciej Nowalinski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 66.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 1–0 Maciej Nowalinski Maciej Nowalinski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:45What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Nowalinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1639 vs Nowalinski 1730
Nowalinski
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 80% vs Nowalinski 60%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 50% vs Nowalinski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski +1 · Nowalinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nowalinski) · live re-read · sealed at 33% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.83 / Nowalinski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nowalinski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13113307
Jendrzejewski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Nowalinski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJendrzejewski1wins
AwayNowalinski0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderJendrzejewski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJendrzejewskiNowalinskiJ − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.039.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiNowalinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 712 vs 821 / 170849.2%48.1%350 / 712 vs 821 / 1708Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NowalinskiJendrzejewski 1.83/Nowalinski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nowalinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nowalinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WFeb 3 · 16:55P. Jendrzejewski—115711113M. Nowalinski—81111542
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150
M. Nowalinski10
WSep 11 · 14:15M. Miastowski1.731285151M. Nowalinski1.92101111173LSep 11 · 13:25K. Wisniewski2.551181111113M. Nowalinski1.4213115592WSep 11 · 11:20K. Staszczyk2.6586111412M. Nowalinski1.381111712113LSep 11 · 10:30M. Kolek2.5512114113M. Nowalinski1.421091151WSep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75611761M. Nowalinski1.3611611113LSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113WSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:40S. Sporek1.9111111110113M. Nowalinski1.8079131282
Upcoming Matches
P. Jendrzejewski1 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.50K. Strowski1.50—Sep 11 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.61M. Marchlewski2.20—Sep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44J. Mitas2.63—Sep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—Sep 11 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61M. Marchlewski2.20—Sep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.83K. Staszczyk1.83—Sep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—Sep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.44J. Mitas2.63—Sep 12 · 15:45P. Jendrzejewski—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski—M. Kolek——
M. Nowalinski
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