TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113302
Played Sep 11Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Tomasz Filbrandt
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:43 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeKarol Strowski to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarol Strowski above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Karol Strowski at 55.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Karol Strowski 42–26 Tomasz Filbrandt Tomasz Filbrandt has won 26 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-26 in 68
Strowski
Correct
gap of 16 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strowski 1837 vs Filbrandt 1623
Strowski
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strowski 80% vs Filbrandt 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strowski 80% vs Filbrandt 50%
Strowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strowski -1 · Filbrandt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Strowski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filbrandt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 1.73 / Filbrandt 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Strowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13113302
Strowski1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 269 of 403
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it85% 185 of 219
Filbrandt2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 58 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrowski6wins
AwayFilbrandt4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderStrowski leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrowski100%4 of 4
AwayFilbrandt66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strowski4Filbrandt6n = 10Filbrandt took 6 of 10
S2Strowski5Filbrandt5n = 10split evenly
S3Strowski4Filbrandt6n = 10Filbrandt took 6 of 10
S4Strowski7Filbrandt2n = 9Strowski took 7 of 9
S5Strowski4Filbrandt3n = 7Strowski took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrowskiFilbrandtS − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.246.7−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime812 / 1390 vs 682 / 127658.4%53.5%812 / 1390 vs 682 / 1276Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrowskiStrowski 1.73/Filbrandt 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Strowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 09:00K. Strowski—71451182T. Filbrandt—1112119113
WJul 17 · 17:40K. Strowski—1211411113T. Filbrandt—14811672
LJun 27 · 17:20K. Strowski—711611112T. Filbrandt—118117133
WMay 18 · 12:20K. Strowski—11711163T. Filbrandt—9117141
LMay 5 · 16:20K. Strowski—81571162T. Filbrandt—1113117113
WApr 28 · 15:30K. Strowski—711114113T. Filbrandt—11781192
WApr 28 · 14:45K. Strowski—118811113T. Filbrandt—91111892
WApr 21 · 15:30K. Strowski—11811133T. Filbrandt—8118111
LApr 7 · 16:20K. Strowski—87140T. Filbrandt—1111163
WApr 7 · 11:55K. Strowski—119159113T. Filbrandt—911131192
K. Strowski10
LSep 11 · 15:45K. Strowski1.91671141K. Wloczko1.8011117113WSep 11 · 14:10K. Strowski2.7511112113M. Jadczyk1.40961181WSep 11 · 12:55K. Strowski3.0081111113M. Olejnik1.36119781WSep 11 · 11:15K. Strowski1.9181113113J. Kuzmicz1.801191191WSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 7 · 19:40K. Strowski1.911251012113K. Glazowski1.801011121082LSep 7 · 18:30K. Strowski1.5781111662K. Kapik2.25118911113WSep 7 · 17:20K. Strowski1.221111811113K. Kostyk4.0049111332WSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113WSep 7 · 15:25K. Strowski1.6111111113M. Rutkowski2.20911341
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192
Upcoming Matches
K. Strowski
T. Filbrandt
Sep 11 · 18:05T. Filbrandt1.73M. Marchlewski2.00—Sep 11 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.73J. Mitas2.00—Sep 11 · 20:30T. Filbrandt2.63M. Nowalinski1.44—Sep 11 · 21:45T. Filbrandt1.83P. Jendrzejewski1.83—Sep 11 · 22:05T. Filbrandt1.73J. Mitas2.00—Sep 11 · 23:15T. Filbrandt1.80M. Marchlewski1.91—Sep 11 · 23:35T. Filbrandt1.67K. Staszczyk2.10—Sep 12 · 24:20T. Filbrandt1.83P. Jendrzejewski1.83—Sep 12 · 15:25T. Filbrandt—J. Kuzmicz——Sep 12 · 16:55T. Filbrandt—F. Mlynarski——
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