TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109307
Played Sep 11Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119117118––
Martin Olejnik
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:40 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Olejnik to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarol Strowski above · Martin Olejnik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Martin Olejnik at 68.8%
76 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:40What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Olejnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Strowski 1848 vs Olejnik 1868
Olejnik
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strowski 80% vs Olejnik 60%
Strowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strowski 80% vs Olejnik 60%
Strowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strowski +3 · Olejnik +2
Strowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Olejnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 3.00 / Olejnik 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13109307
Strowski3.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 77 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back26% 30 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Olejnik1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 199 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it85% 148 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime810 / 1387 vs 451 / 82758.4%54.5%810 / 1387 vs 451 / 827Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikStrowski 3.00/Olejnik 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strowski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Strowski10
WSep 11 · 14:10K. Strowski2.7511112113M. Jadczyk1.40961181WSep 11 · 11:15K. Strowski1.9181113113J. Kuzmicz1.801191191WSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 7 · 19:40K. Strowski1.911251012113K. Glazowski1.801011121082LSep 7 · 18:30K. Strowski1.5781111662K. Kapik2.25118911113WSep 7 · 17:20K. Strowski1.221111811113K. Kostyk4.0049111332WSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113WSep 7 · 15:25K. Strowski1.6111111113M. Rutkowski2.20911341LSep 7 · 14:35K. Strowski1.7471161182K. Glazowski1.94115119113WSep 7 · 13:00K. Strowski1.6011115113G. Poliniewicz2.15971171
M. Olejnik10
LSep 11 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.83111011113M. Olejnik1.83512691WSep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.677111411113K. Wloczko2.1011416562WSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351LSep 11 · 08:30M. Miastowski2.381191111123M. Olejnik1.53911813102LSep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61412381J. Kuzmicz2.20111011113WSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113WSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113WSep 11 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz4.3311611762M. Olejnik1.20411911113WSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113LSep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.9111118143M. Olejnik1.804611121
Upcoming Matches
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