TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109939
Played Sep 11Finished
Martin Olejnik
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111141416115116
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Olejnik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Olejnik above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Olejnik at 58.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Martin Olejnik 13–14 Krzysztof Wloczko Martin Olejnik has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Olejnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Olejnik 1858 vs Wloczko 1853
Olejnik
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olejnik 60% vs Wloczko 40%
Olejnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olejnik 50% vs Wloczko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olejnik +1 · Wloczko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Olejnik) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlejnik 1.67 / Wloczko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13109939
Olejnik1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 199 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it85% 148 of 174
Wloczko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 162 of 401
Down 0–1, comes back18% 39 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOlejnik5wins
AwayWloczko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlejnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWloczko50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olejnik2Wloczko8n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S2Olejnik4Wloczko6n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S3Olejnik6Wloczko4n = 10Olejnik took 6 of 10
S4Olejnik4Wloczko2n = 6Olejnik took 4 of 6
S5Olejnik2Wloczko1n = 3Olejnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricOlejnikWloczkoO − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.438.1−2.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlejnikWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 826 vs 954 / 182654.5%52.3%450 / 826 vs 954 / 1826Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikOlejnik 1.67/Wloczko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Olejnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik225890K. Wloczko331111113
LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik2681080K. Wloczko341112113
WAug 28 · 10:00M. Olejnik3741111113K. Wloczko35118971
WAug 21 · 15:45M. Olejnik4991811113K. Wloczko441116981
LAug 21 · 06:30M. Olejnik144730K. Wloczko331111113
LAug 11 · 09:40M. Olejnik28361181K. Wloczko4211119113
WAug 7 · 10:00M. Olejnik495111111113K. Wloczko4511139662
LAug 7 · 08:05M. Olejnik4912148872K. Wloczko5510121111113
WJul 31 · 08:05M. Olejnik341211113K. Wloczko1910450
WJul 21 · 13:20M. Olejnik46851111113K. Wloczko4111117662
M. Olejnik10
WSep 11 · 15:25M. Olejnik1.531011811123K. Kolodziej2.38127114102LSep 11 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.83111011113M. Olejnik1.83512691LSep 11 · 12:55K. Strowski3.0081111113M. Olejnik1.36119781WSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351LSep 11 · 08:30M. Miastowski2.381191111123M. Olejnik1.53911813102LSep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61412381J. Kuzmicz2.20111011113WSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113WSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113WSep 11 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz4.3311611762M. Olejnik1.20411911113WSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 11 · 15:45K. Strowski1.91671141K. Wloczko1.8011117113LSep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.251311661K. Kolodziej1.5715811113WSep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.4491111862K. Wloczko2.63119911113LSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.911191110143K. Wloczko1.80811612122LSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143WSep 11 · 05:40M. Miastowski1.8351131182K. Wloczko1.83116117113LSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113WSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181WSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780
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