TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109668
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11891111610121412
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 104 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Krzysztof Wloczko at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 16–17 Krzysztof Wloczko Jakub Kuzmicz has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kuzmicz beat Wloczko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wloczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1783 vs Wloczko 1867
Wloczko
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 40% vs Wloczko 60%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 50% vs Wloczko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +2 · Wloczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wloczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.91 / Wloczko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wloczko)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13109668
Kuzmicz1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 136 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back31% 40 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Wloczko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 221 of 365
Up 2–0, closes it97% 93 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it79% 170 of 214
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz5wins
AwayWloczko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz83.3%5 of 6
AwayWloczko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz6Wloczko4n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmicz6Wloczko4n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmicz2Wloczko8n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S4Kuzmicz4Wloczko3n = 7Kuzmicz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczWloczkoK − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.537.3−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime670 / 1162 vs 954 / 182557.7%52.3%670 / 1162 vs 954 / 1825Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoKuzmicz 1.91/Wloczko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 11:45J. Kuzmicz—1111113K. Wloczko—9790
LAug 25 · 12:35J. Kuzmicz—7770K. Wloczko—1111113
LAug 24 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz—1111101172K. Wloczko—613127113
WAug 24 · 03:00J. Kuzmicz—11116113K. Wloczko—591151
LAug 12 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz—710110K. Wloczko—1112133
LAug 10 · 08:30J. Kuzmicz—6137101K. Wloczko—111111123
WJul 18 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz—111128113K. Wloczko—911101192
WJul 9 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz—11118113K. Wloczko—841151
WJul 3 · 11:20J. Kuzmicz—11118113K. Wloczko—981171
LJun 30 · 13:00J. Kuzmicz—911761K. Wloczko—11911113
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73111199113K. Kolodziej2.0097111182LSep 11 · 11:15K. Strowski1.9181113113J. Kuzmicz1.801191191WSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61412381J. Kuzmicz2.20111011113LSep 11 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.25511118113J. Kuzmicz1.5711551152LSep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.6711115113J. Kuzmicz2.10691171LSep 11 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.61811117153J. Kuzmicz2.20119911132WSep 10 · 14:35F. Krcil2.125440J. Kuzmicz1.591111113WSep 10 · 13:25J. Kuzmicz1.491111113K. Wisniewski2.348790WSep 10 · 12:10M. Miastowski1.7511714962J. Kuzmicz1.909111211113
K. Wloczko10
LSep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.677111411113K. Wloczko2.1011416562LSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143WSep 11 · 05:40M. Miastowski1.8351131182K. Wloczko1.83116117113LSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113WSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181WSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780LSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.636480M. Jadczyk1.441111113LSep 10 · 11:40K. Wloczko1.915970D. Michna1.801111113WSep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38113119113A. Grela1.5371181172
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.