TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104312
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117311118911117
Artur Grela
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:27 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Artur Grela at 62.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 13–17 Artur Grela Krzysztof Wloczko has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Grela
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-17 in 30
Grela
Wrong
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1907 vs Grela 1904
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Grela 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 60% vs Grela 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +2 · Grela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Grela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.38 / Grela 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Grela)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13104312
Wloczko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 158 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 129
Grela1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 169 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 113 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko2wins
AwayGrela8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGrela leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGrela88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko1Grela9n = 10Grela took 9 of 10
S2Wloczko5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S3Wloczko6Grela4n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko1Grela6n = 7Grela took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoGrelaW − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.637.7−4.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime949 / 1814 vs 636 / 125652.3%50.6%949 / 1814 vs 636 / 1256Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaWloczko 2.38/Grela 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 06:55K. Wloczko—10101161A. Grela—12124113
LJul 31 · 07:20K. Wloczko—811111392A. Grela—113815113
LJun 16 · 07:20K. Wloczko—871181A. Grela—11117113
LJun 8 · 06:15K. Wloczko—4950A. Grela—1111113
LMay 28 · 06:15K. Wloczko—71011111A. Grela—11128133
LMay 14 · 07:15K. Wloczko—511561A. Grela—11711113
LApr 24 · 10:45K. Wloczko—51090A. Grela—1112113
LMar 16 · 08:40K. Wloczko—1011541A. Grela—12911113
WMar 6 · 13:25K. Wloczko—1211113A. Grela—10840
WMar 6 · 04:00K. Wloczko—81111113A. Grela—118691
K. Wloczko10
LSep 10 · 11:40K. Wloczko1.915970D. Michna1.801111113LSep 10 · 09:00K. Wloczko3.001149101G. Felkel1.3661111123WSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.5015114113M. Jadczyk1.501361181LSep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00911671M. Miastowski1.7311611113WSep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00511159143G. Felkel1.361171311122LSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko2.10512631D. Michna1.67111011113LSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113
A. Grela10
WSep 10 · 11:15A. Grela1.831211510113G. Felkel1.83107111272WSep 10 · 09:20A. Grela1.4411116113K. Kolodziej2.63981151WSep 10 · 08:35A. Grela1.671211113D. Michna2.1010990LSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.8371111672M. Jadczyk1.83114811113WSep 10 · 05:50A. Grela1.8311114113M. Miastowski1.83291161WSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:00A. Grela2.00101141292G. Felkel1.731271110113LSep 9 · 14:35D. Michna2.0011911113A. Grela1.73711951WSep 9 · 13:20A. Grela1.836111111143G. Felkel1.83116135122WSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko1 of 8 neutral
Sep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.63M. Jadczyk1.44—Sep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.10K. Kolodziej1.67—Sep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25M. Olejnik1.57—Sep 11 · 05:40K. Wloczko1.83M. Miastowski1.83—Sep 11 · 06:30K. Wloczko1.40G. Poliniewicz2.75—Sep 11 · 10:25K. Wloczko1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 11 · 13:20K. Wloczko2.63M. Jadczyk1.44—Sep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko—K. Kolodziej——
A. Grela
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