TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105535
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911711––––
Dawid Michna
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeDawid Michna to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Dawid Michna below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Dawid Michna at 55.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 22–24 Dawid Michna Krzysztof Wloczko has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Michna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-24 in 46
Michna
Correct
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1888 vs Michna 1932
Michna
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 60% vs Michna 40%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 50% vs Michna 70%
Michna
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +1 · Michna -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Michna) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michna form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 1.91 / Michna 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Michna)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13105535
Wloczko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 158 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 129
Michna1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 85 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it77% 66 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko4wins
AwayMichna6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMichna leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko100%3 of 3
AwayMichna85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko3Michna7n = 10Michna took 7 of 10
S2Wloczko7Michna3n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S3Wloczko8Michna2n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S4Wloczko0Michna6n = 6Michna took 6 of 6
S5Wloczko1Michna2n = 3Michna took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoMichnaW − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.336.8−1.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoMichnaBasisWin rate · lifetime950 / 1817 vs 532 / 97952.3%54.3%950 / 1817 vs 532 / 979Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichnaWloczko 1.91/Michna 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Michna · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Michna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 07:20K. Wloczko—1111113D. Michna—7970
LJun 18 · 10:25K. Wloczko—51111572D. Michna—119611113
LApr 24 · 15:10K. Wloczko—9990D. Michna—1111113
LMar 9 · 05:15K. Wloczko—1211551D. Michna—14511113
WMar 6 · 06:15K. Wloczko—1112113D. Michna—91050
LMar 5 · 07:35K. Wloczko—91111552D. Michna—118811113
WMar 4 · 10:30K. Wloczko—1212113D. Michna—101060
LMar 4 · 08:10K. Wloczko—761131D. Michna—11115113
WFeb 10 · 11:20K. Wloczko—911117113D. Michna—11691172
LFeb 10 · 06:45K. Wloczko—961191D. Michna—11119113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38113119113A. Grela1.5371181172LSep 10 · 09:00K. Wloczko3.001149101G. Felkel1.3661111123WSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.5015114113M. Jadczyk1.501361181LSep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00911671M. Miastowski1.7311611113WSep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00511159143G. Felkel1.361171311122LSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko2.10512631D. Michna1.67111011113LSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113
D. Michna10
LSep 10 · 10:50D. Michna1.8311117111K. Kolodziej1.8381311133WSep 10 · 09:40D. Michna2.101311113M. Jadczyk1.6711990LSep 10 · 08:35A. Grela1.671211113D. Michna2.1010990LSep 10 · 07:25D. Michna2.00126111182G. Felkel1.73141167113WSep 10 · 06:15M. Jadczyk1.6771111842D. Michna2.10117611113WSep 10 · 04:40M. Miastowski1.8311211962D. Michna1.83711811113WSep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko2.10512631D. Michna1.67111011113WSep 9 · 14:35D. Michna2.0011911113A. Grela1.73711951WSep 9 · 12:55D. Michna1.7311117113M. Jadczyk2.00871171WSep 9 · 11:40D. Michna1.83118119113K. Kolodziej1.8361191152
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko1 of 9 neutral
Sep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.63M. Jadczyk1.44—Sep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.10K. Kolodziej1.67—Sep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25M. Olejnik1.57—Sep 11 · 05:40K. Wloczko1.83M. Miastowski1.83—Sep 11 · 06:30K. Wloczko1.40G. Poliniewicz2.75—Sep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 11 · 10:25K. Wloczko1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 11 · 13:20K. Wloczko2.63M. Jadczyk1.44—Sep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko—K. Kolodziej——
D. Michna
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