TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103326
Played Sep 10Finished
Artur Grela
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118611115––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Artur Grela at 73.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 5–1 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Grela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Grela
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1909 vs Kolodziej 1892
Grela
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 40% vs Kolodziej 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 50% vs Kolodziej 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela -1 · Kolodziej +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Grela) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 1.44 / Kolodziej 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Grela)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13103326
Grela1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 169 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 113 of 149
Kolodziej2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 77 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back20% 24 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGrela5wins
AwayKolodziej1wins
3 of 6 to a deciderGrela leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrelan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKolodziej20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela1Kolodziej5n = 6Kolodziej took 5 of 6
S2Grela3Kolodziej3n = 6split evenly
S3Grela5Kolodziej1n = 6Grela took 5 of 6
S4Grela3Kolodziej2n = 5Grela took 3 of 5
S5Grela3Kolodziej0n = 3Grela took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricGrelaKolodziejG − KBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match41.237.8+3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime635 / 1256 vs 1311 / 194850.6%67.3%635 / 1256 vs 1311 / 1948Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaGrela 1.44/Kolodziej 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WApr 24 · 15:55A. Grela—91111113K. Kolodziej—117191
WFeb 24 · 16:55A. Grela—571111113K. Kolodziej—11117952
WMar 12 · 16:55A. Grela—91111113K. Kolodziej—117591
WMar 4 · 18:50A. Grela—127119113K. Kolodziej—101191162
LJan 15 · 16:55A. Grela—31160K. Kolodziej—1113113
WJan 8 · 20:00A. Grela—911116113K. Kolodziej—11561192
A. Grela10
WSep 10 · 11:15A. Grela1.831211510113G. Felkel1.83107111272LSep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38113119113A. Grela1.5371181172WSep 10 · 08:35A. Grela1.671211113D. Michna2.1010990LSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.8371111672M. Jadczyk1.83114811113WSep 10 · 05:50A. Grela1.8311114113M. Miastowski1.83291161WSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:00A. Grela2.00101141292G. Felkel1.731271110113LSep 9 · 14:35D. Michna2.0011911113A. Grela1.73711951WSep 9 · 13:20A. Grela1.836111111143G. Felkel1.83116135122LSep 9 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.73119711113A. Grela2.0021111482
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 10 · 10:50D. Michna1.8311117111K. Kolodziej1.8381311133WSep 9 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.251111123G. Felkel1.5788100LSep 9 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.4461111113K. Kolodziej2.63116771LSep 9 · 11:40D. Michna1.83118119113K. Kolodziej1.8361191152LSep 9 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.50281161A. Grela1.5011116113WSep 9 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.751111113M. Jadczyk1.404960LSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 13:20A. Wiecek1.361011177113K. Kolodziej3.00127151172WSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113WSep 8 · 10:25M. Olejnik1.50111111792K. Kolodziej2.50136811113
Upcoming Matches
A. Grela
K. Kolodziej
Sep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.63G. Felkel1.44—Sep 10 · 14:35K. Kolodziej1.67K. Wloczko2.10—Sep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.33J. Chmielowski3.25—Sep 10 · 16:05K. Kolodziej1.28M. Olbrycht3.50—Sep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.27K. Staszczyk3.20—Sep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.36J. Mitas3.00—Sep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.63K. Kapik2.05—Sep 11 · 10:00K. Kolodziej—K. Strowski——Sep 11 · 11:40K. Kolodziej3.00M. Jadczyk1.36—Sep 11 · 12:30K. Kolodziej2.00J. Kuzmicz1.73—
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