TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109308
Played Sep 11Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711111411––
Martin Olejnik
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:38 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Olejnik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Martin Olejnik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 62 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Martin Olejnik at 58.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 14–13 Martin Olejnik Martin Olejnik has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:38What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Olejnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-13 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1887 vs Olejnik 1833
Wloczko
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 60% vs Olejnik 40%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 50% vs Olejnik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +2 · Olejnik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Olejnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.25 / Olejnik 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13109308
Wloczko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 162 of 401
Down 0–1, comes back18% 39 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 131
Olejnik1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 199 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it85% 148 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko5wins
AwayOlejnik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko50%4 of 8
AwayOlejnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko8Olejnik2n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S2Wloczko6Olejnik4n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S3Wloczko4Olejnik6n = 10Olejnik took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko2Olejnik4n = 6Olejnik took 4 of 6
S5Wloczko1Olejnik2n = 3Olejnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoOlejnikW − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.135.4+2.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime952 / 1821 vs 447 / 82152.3%54.5%952 / 1821 vs 447 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikWloczko 2.25/Olejnik 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Olejnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 14:10K. Wloczko—1111113M. Olejnik—5890
WSep 2 · 07:20K. Wloczko—1112113M. Olejnik—81080
LAug 28 · 10:00K. Wloczko—118971M. Olejnik—41111113
LAug 21 · 15:45K. Wloczko—1116981M. Olejnik—91811113
WAug 21 · 06:30K. Wloczko—1111113M. Olejnik—4730
WAug 11 · 09:40K. Wloczko—11119113M. Olejnik—361181
LAug 7 · 10:00K. Wloczko—11139662M. Olejnik—5111111113
WAug 7 · 08:05K. Wloczko—10121111113M. Olejnik—12148872
LJul 31 · 08:05K. Wloczko—10450M. Olejnik—1211113
LJul 21 · 13:20K. Wloczko—11117662M. Olejnik—851111113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 11 · 05:40M. Miastowski1.8351131182K. Wloczko1.83116117113WSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181WSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780LSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.636480M. Jadczyk1.441111113LSep 10 · 11:40K. Wloczko1.915970D. Michna1.801111113WSep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38113119113A. Grela1.5371181172LSep 10 · 09:00K. Wloczko3.001149101G. Felkel1.3661111123WSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko1.8315114113M. Jadczyk1.831361181LSep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00911671M. Miastowski1.7311611113WSep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00511159143G. Felkel1.361171311122
M. Olejnik10
WSep 11 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz4.3311611762M. Olejnik1.20411911113WSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113LSep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.9111118143M. Olejnik1.804611121LSep 8 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.8346111192A. Wiecek1.83111186113LSep 8 · 10:25M. Olejnik1.50111111792K. Kolodziej2.50136811113LSep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.3871112113M. Olejnik1.531141081LSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 07:20M. Olejnik2.008101181P. David1.7311125113WSep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.9181111782M. Olejnik1.80117911113WSep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.109580M. Olejnik1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko
Sep 11 · 06:30K. Wloczko1.40G. Poliniewicz2.75—Sep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 11 · 10:25K. Wloczko1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 11 · 12:05K. Wloczko2.25M. Olejnik1.57—Sep 11 · 13:20K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.25K. Kolodziej1.57—Sep 11 · 15:45K. Wloczko1.80K. Strowski1.91—
M. Olejnik
Sep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61J. Kuzmicz2.20—Sep 11 · 08:30M. Olejnik1.53M. Miastowski2.38—Sep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.57K. Wloczko2.25—Sep 11 · 12:55M. Olejnik1.36K. Strowski3.00—Sep 11 · 13:45M. Olejnik1.35J. Kuzmicz2.80—Sep 11 · 15:25M. Olejnik1.53K. Kolodziej2.38—
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