TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110130
Played Sep 11Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151210711118––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 60.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 27–50 Marcin Jadczyk Krzysztof Wloczko has won 27 of their 77 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 15h before this match
Jadczyk beat Wloczko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-50 in 77
Jadczyk
Wrong
gap of 23 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1875 vs Jadczyk 1880
Jadczyk
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Jadczyk 60%
Jadczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 40% vs Jadczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +1 · Jadczyk +3
Jadczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.50 / Jadczyk 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Jadczyk)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13110130
Wloczko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 158 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 129
Jadczyk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 430 of 677
Up 2–0, closes it98% 215 of 219
Up 1–0, closes it83% 338 of 406
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko4wins
AwayJadczyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJadczyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko60%3 of 5
AwayJadczyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Wloczko4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S3Wloczko3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S4Wloczko3Jadczyk5n = 8Jadczyk took 5 of 8
S5Wloczko2Jadczyk1n = 3Wloczko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoJadczykW − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.340.9−7.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime951 / 1820 vs 981 / 167452.3%58.6%951 / 1820 vs 981 / 1674Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykWloczko 2.50/Jadczyk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko—6480M. Jadczyk—1111113
WSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko—15114113M. Jadczyk—1361181
LSep 3 · 04:30K. Wloczko—116961M. Jadczyk—51111113
LSep 2 · 10:25K. Wloczko—611561M. Jadczyk—11911113
WSep 2 · 04:30K. Wloczko—911116113M. Jadczyk—11641182
WAug 31 · 10:25K. Wloczko—125116163M. Jadczyk—1011911142
WAug 31 · 04:30K. Wloczko—12711113M. Jadczyk—1011671
LAug 28 · 11:40K. Wloczko—5430M. Jadczyk—1111113
LAug 24 · 04:30K. Wloczko—61131202M. Jadczyk—1191110113
LAug 23 · 04:30K. Wloczko—137921M. Jadczyk—111111113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780LSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.636480M. Jadczyk1.441111113LSep 10 · 11:40K. Wloczko1.915970D. Michna1.801111113WSep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38113119113A. Grela1.5371181172LSep 10 · 09:00K. Wloczko3.001149101G. Felkel1.3661111123WSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko1.8315114113M. Jadczyk1.831361181LSep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00911671M. Miastowski1.7311611113WSep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00511159143G. Felkel1.361171311122LSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko2.10512631D. Michna1.67111011113
M. Jadczyk10
WSep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.6711115113J. Kuzmicz2.10691171WSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela1.80411741M. Jadczyk1.9111411113WSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.636480M. Jadczyk1.441111113WSep 10 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.3671111113K. Kolodziej3.00115581LSep 10 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.8311781122G. Felkel1.83611115113LSep 10 · 09:40D. Michna2.101311113M. Jadczyk1.6711990LSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko1.8315114113M. Jadczyk1.831361181WSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.8371111672M. Jadczyk1.83114811113LSep 10 · 06:15M. Jadczyk1.6771111842D. Michna2.10117611113LSep 10 · 04:20M. Jadczyk2.20511114132G. Felkel1.61116911153
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko
Sep 11 · 05:40K. Wloczko1.83M. Miastowski1.83—Sep 11 · 06:30K. Wloczko1.40G. Poliniewicz2.75—Sep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 11 · 10:25K. Wloczko1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 11 · 12:05K. Wloczko2.25M. Olejnik1.57—Sep 11 · 13:20K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.25K. Kolodziej1.57—Sep 11 · 15:45K. Wloczko1.80K. Strowski1.91—
M. Jadczyk
Sep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.00M. Olejnik1.73—Sep 11 · 06:55M. Jadczyk1.73M. Miastowski2.00—Sep 11 · 07:45M. Jadczyk1.17G. Poliniewicz4.50—Sep 11 · 10:50M. Jadczyk2.00M. Olejnik1.73—Sep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40K. Kolodziej2.75—Sep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 11 · 14:10M. Jadczyk1.40K. Strowski2.75—Sep 11 · 15:00M. Jadczyk1.67J. Kuzmicz2.10—
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