TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103322
Played Sep 10Finished
Marcin Jadczyk
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115115118––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:48 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcin Jadczyk above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 69 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 58.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Marcin Jadczyk 7–5 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Jadczyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadczyk 1819 vs Kolodziej 1880
Kolodziej
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadczyk 20% vs Kolodziej 40%
Kolodziej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadczyk 30% vs Kolodziej 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadczyk -3 · Kolodziej +1
Jadczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadczyk 1.36 / Kolodziej 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Jadczyk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13103322
Jadczyk1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 430 of 677
Up 2–0, closes it98% 215 of 219
Up 1–0, closes it83% 338 of 406
Kolodziej3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 77 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back20% 24 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadczyk5wins
AwayKolodziej5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadczyk60%3 of 5
AwayKolodziej60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadczyk5Kolodziej5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadczyk5Kolodziej5n = 10split evenly
S3Jadczyk5Kolodziej5n = 10split evenly
S4Jadczyk4Kolodziej4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadczykKolodziejJ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.737.0−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadczykKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime978 / 1671 vs 1311 / 194958.5%67.3%978 / 1671 vs 1311 / 1949Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykJadczyk 1.36/Kolodziej 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 6 · 09:40M. Jadczyk—11119113K. Kolodziej—881161
WJul 6 · 09:40M. Jadczyk—11119113K. Kolodziej—881161
LJul 3 · 10:50M. Jadczyk—5911101K. Kolodziej—11116123
WJul 2 · 12:55M. Jadczyk—31111143K. Kolodziej—1157121
LJun 30 · 10:25M. Jadczyk—119491K. Kolodziej—91111113
LJun 29 · 09:40M. Jadczyk—7111621K. Kolodziej—111314113
WJun 30 · 24:20M. Jadczyk—1411113K. Kolodziej—12660
LJun 29 · 21:55M. Jadczyk—148981K. Kolodziej—121111113
WJun 16 · 23:25M. Jadczyk—101111123K. Kolodziej—1286101
LJun 16 · 21:05M. Jadczyk—9840K. Kolodziej—1111113
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 10 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.8311781122G. Felkel1.83611115113LSep 10 · 09:40D. Michna2.101311113M. Jadczyk1.6711990LSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.5015114113M. Jadczyk1.501361181WSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.8371111672M. Jadczyk1.83114811113LSep 10 · 06:15M. Jadczyk1.6771111842D. Michna2.10117611113LSep 10 · 04:20M. Jadczyk2.20511114132G. Felkel1.61116911153WSep 10 · 03:40M. Miastowski2.10881181M. Jadczyk1.6711112113LSep 9 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.0011134113M. Jadczyk1.739111171LSep 9 · 12:55D. Michna1.7311117113M. Jadczyk2.00871171WSep 9 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.73119711113A. Grela2.0021111482
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 10 · 10:50D. Michna1.8311117111K. Kolodziej1.8381311133LSep 10 · 09:20A. Grela1.4411116113K. Kolodziej2.63981151WSep 9 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.251111123G. Felkel1.5788100LSep 9 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.4461111113K. Kolodziej2.63116771LSep 9 · 11:40D. Michna1.83118119113K. Kolodziej1.8361191152LSep 9 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.50281161A. Grela1.5011116113WSep 9 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.751111113M. Jadczyk1.404960LSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 13:20A. Wiecek1.361011177113K. Kolodziej3.00127151172WSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113
Upcoming Matches
M. Jadczyk
Sep 10 · 12:55M. Jadczyk1.44K. Wloczko2.63—Sep 10 · 13:45M. Jadczyk1.91A. Grela1.80—Sep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.67J. Kuzmicz2.10—Sep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.00M. Olejnik1.73—Sep 11 · 06:55M. Jadczyk1.73M. Miastowski2.00—Sep 11 · 07:45M. Jadczyk1.17G. Poliniewicz4.50—Sep 11 · 10:50M. Jadczyk2.00M. Olejnik1.73—Sep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.36K. Kolodziej3.00—Sep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44K. Wloczko2.63—Sep 11 · 14:10M. Jadczyk1.40K. Strowski2.75—
K. Kolodziej
Sep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.63G. Felkel1.44—Sep 10 · 14:35K. Kolodziej1.67K. Wloczko2.10—Sep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.33J. Chmielowski3.25—Sep 10 · 16:05K. Kolodziej1.28M. Olbrycht3.50—Sep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.28K. Staszczyk3.50—Sep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.36J. Mitas3.00—Sep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.63K. Kapik2.05—Sep 11 · 10:00K. Kolodziej1.73K. Strowski2.00—Sep 11 · 11:40K. Kolodziej3.00M. Jadczyk1.36—Sep 11 · 12:30K. Kolodziej2.00J. Kuzmicz1.73—
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