Marcin Jadczyk vs Jakub Kuzmicz 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109265

Played Sep 11Finished

Marcin Jadczyk

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

116119511117––

Jakub Kuzmicz

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:38 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%

Graded at full time

Marcin Jadczyk to win

57.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMarcin Jadczyk above · Jakub Kuzmicz below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 5-11

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 57.0%

71 points played in total.

H2H Marcin Jadczyk 4–6 Jakub Kuzmicz Marcin Jadczyk has won 4 of their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:38

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Jadczyk

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-6 in 10

Kuzmicz

Wrong

gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Jadczyk 1868 vs Kuzmicz 1769

Jadczyk

Correct

both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Jadczyk 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Jadczyk 40% vs Kuzmicz 60%

Kuzmicz

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Jadczyk -1 · Kuzmicz -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jadczyk)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kuzmicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJadczyk 1.67 / Kuzmicz 2.10

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Jadczyk)+1.2pp

TT Elite Series · #13109265

Jadczyk1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite64% won 430 of 677

Up 2–0, closes it98% 215 of 219

Up 1–0, closes it83% 338 of 406

Kuzmicz2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog51% won 135 of 265

Down 0–1, comes back30% 39 of 129

Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeJadczyk4wins

AwayKuzmicz6wins

3 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeJadczyk57.1%4 of 7

AwayKuzmicz100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Jadczyk7Kuzmicz3n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10

S2Jadczyk3Kuzmicz7n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10

S3Jadczyk4Kuzmicz6n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10

S4Jadczyk4Kuzmicz5n = 9Kuzmicz took 5 of 9

S5Jadczyk1Kuzmicz2n = 3Kuzmicz took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricJadczykKuzmiczJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.739.4−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJadczykKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime981 / 1675 vs 668 / 115858.6%57.7%981 / 1675 vs 668 / 1158Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Jadczyk

Jadczyk 1.67/Kuzmicz 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57%

Jadczyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Jadczyk won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 24 · 06:55M. Jadczyk—691181J. Kuzmicz—11113113

LAug 16 · 04:30M. Jadczyk—114771J. Kuzmicz—81111113

WAug 10 · 06:05M. Jadczyk—13511113J. Kuzmicz—1111591

WJul 27 · 10:25M. Jadczyk—11711113J. Kuzmicz—411571

LJul 27 · 04:30M. Jadczyk—51211882J. Kuzmicz—1110811113

LJul 26 · 10:25M. Jadczyk—116571J. Kuzmicz—71111113

WJul 26 · 04:30M. Jadczyk—11117113J. Kuzmicz—691171

LJul 9 · 13:45M. Jadczyk—10790J. Kuzmicz—1211113

WApr 16 · 07:55M. Jadczyk—1210711113J. Kuzmicz—101211572

LMar 10 · 08:55M. Jadczyk—11118772J. Kuzmicz—991111113

M. Jadczyk10

LSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181 WSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela1.80411741M. Jadczyk1.9111411113 WSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.636480M. Jadczyk1.441111113 WSep 10 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.3671111113K. Kolodziej3.00115581 LSep 10 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.8311781122G. Felkel1.83611115113 LSep 10 · 09:40D. Michna2.101311113M. Jadczyk1.6711990 LSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko1.8315114113M. Jadczyk1.831361181 WSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.8371111672M. Jadczyk1.83114811113 LSep 10 · 06:15M. Jadczyk1.6771111842D. Michna2.10117611113 LSep 10 · 04:20M. Jadczyk2.20511114132G. Felkel1.61116911153

J. Kuzmicz10

LSep 11 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.61811117153J. Kuzmicz2.20119911132 WSep 10 · 14:35F. Krcil2.125440J. Kuzmicz1.591111113 WSep 10 · 13:25J. Kuzmicz1.491111113K. Wisniewski2.348790 WSep 10 · 12:10M. Miastowski1.7511714962J. Kuzmicz1.909111211113 LSep 10 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz2.1814911113J. Kuzmicz1.561211891 LSep 10 · 09:20D. Kosmal2.601111811113J. Kuzmicz1.4191311792 WSep 9 · 13:50T. Spanik1.3712121181J. Kuzmicz2.70101413113 WSep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83112661J. Kuzmicz1.8661111113 WSep 9 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz1.88971113113M. Benes1.82111191152 LSep 9 · 10:30J. Kuzmicz1.571291081K. Wisniewski2.16101112113

Upcoming Matches

M. Jadczyk

Sep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.00M. Olejnik1.73—Sep 11 · 06:55M. Jadczyk1.73M. Miastowski2.00—Sep 11 · 07:45M. Jadczyk1.17G. Poliniewicz4.50—Sep 11 · 10:50M. Jadczyk2.00M. Olejnik1.73—Sep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40K. Kolodziej2.75—Sep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 11 · 14:10M. Jadczyk1.40K. Strowski2.75—Sep 11 · 15:00M. Jadczyk1.67J. Kuzmicz2.10—

J. Kuzmicz

Sep 11 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz1.57G. Poliniewicz2.25—Sep 11 · 07:20J. Kuzmicz2.20M. Olejnik1.61—Sep 11 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz1.83K. Wloczko1.83—Sep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.83K. Wloczko1.83—Sep 11 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz2.00K. Strowski1.73—Sep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73K. Kolodziej2.00—Sep 11 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz2.80M. Olejnik1.35—Sep 11 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz2.10M. Jadczyk1.67—

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