TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108619
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119117911911118
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 56.2%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 30–24 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 24 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-24 in 54
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 6 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1786 vs Kolodziej 1863
Kolodziej
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Kolodziej 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Kolodziej 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -1 · Kolodziej -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.73 / Kolodziej 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13108619
Kuzmicz1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 424 of 683
Up 2–0, closes it98% 174 of 178
Up 1–0, closes it81% 293 of 360
Kolodziej2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As underdog36% won 78 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz4wins
AwayKolodziej6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolodziej leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz60%3 of 5
AwayKolodziej80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz5Kolodziej5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmicz3Kolodziej7n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmicz3Kolodziej7n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmicz2Kolodziej5n = 7Kolodziej took 5 of 7
S5Kuzmicz3Kolodziej1n = 4Kuzmicz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczKolodziejKuzmicz − KolodziejBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.641.0−3.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1164 vs 1310 / 194957.7%67.2%671 / 1164 vs 1310 / 1949Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.73/Kolodziej 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 9 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz—11811113K. Kolodziej—911981
LJul 6 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz—8990K. Kolodziej—1111113
LJul 2 · 18:45J. Kuzmicz—11890K. Kolodziej—1311113
LJul 1 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz—116991K. Kolodziej—81111113
LJun 29 · 15:45J. Kuzmicz—118101152K. Kolodziej—911125113
WJun 28 · 16:30J. Kuzmicz—111166133K. Kolodziej—991111112
WJun 21 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz—811124113K. Kolodziej—119101142
LJun 19 · 16:05J. Kuzmicz—6111191K. Kolodziej—11513113
LJun 9 · 23:25J. Kuzmicz—2970K. Kolodziej—1111113
WJun 9 · 21:05J. Kuzmicz—1112118113K. Kolodziej—61481182
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 11 · 11:15K. Strowski1.9181113113J. Kuzmicz1.801191191WSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.911191110143K. Wloczko1.80811612122WSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61412381J. Kuzmicz2.20111011113LSep 11 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.25511118113J. Kuzmicz1.5711551152LSep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.6711115113J. Kuzmicz2.10691171LSep 11 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.61811117153J. Kuzmicz2.20119911132WSep 10 · 14:35F. Krcil2.125440J. Kuzmicz1.591111113WSep 10 · 13:25J. Kuzmicz1.491111113K. Wisniewski2.348790WSep 10 · 12:10M. Miastowski1.7511714962J. Kuzmicz1.909111211113
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.731111113K. Kapik2.003960WSep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.367111111113J. Mitas3.0011713392WSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631WSep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht3.50411651K. Kolodziej1.2811611113WSep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.331111113J. Chmielowski3.256690LSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780WSep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.633G. Felkel1.442LSep 10 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.3671111113K. Kolodziej3.00115581
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