TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103313
Played Sep 10Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119116––––
Krzysztof Kapik
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Krzysztof Kapik below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Krzysztof Kapik at 54.6%
51 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 111–111 Krzysztof Kapik Dead even across their 222 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:46What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolodziej
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
111-111 in 222
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1882 vs Kapik 1684
Kolodziej
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 80% vs Kapik 40%
Kolodziej
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 70% vs Kapik 50%
Kolodziej
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej +4 · Kapik +1
Kolodziej
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolodziej) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 1.73 / Kapik 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kolodziej)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13103313
Kolodziej1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite76% won 504 of 663
Up 2–0, closes it98% 312 of 319
Up 1–0, closes it88% 409 of 467
Kapik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 210 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back27% 63 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej5wins
AwayKapik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej57.1%4 of 7
AwayKapik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej7Kapik3n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S2Kolodziej5Kapik5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolodziej6Kapik4n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S4Kolodziej4Kapik4n = 8split evenly
S5Kolodziej1Kapik3n = 4Kapik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejKapikKolodziej − KapikBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.3+1.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime1314 / 1953 vs 1118 / 210067.3%53.2%1314 / 1953 vs 1118 / 2100Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejKolodziej 1.73/Kapik 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 23 · 20:05K. Kolodziej—11911113K. Kapik—711721
LJun 23 · 01:10K. Kolodziej—911781K. Kapik—11811113
WJun 22 · 22:50K. Kolodziej—71211113K. Kapik—1110881
WJun 22 · 15:45K. Kolodziej—1111123K. Kapik—83100
LJun 17 · 20:05K. Kolodziej—11391172K. Kapik—311116113
WJun 16 · 18:30K. Kolodziej—115118113K. Kapik—61131192
LJun 15 · 17:20K. Kolodziej—11613652K. Kapik—7111111113
LJun 9 · 15:55K. Kolodziej—1268101K. Kapik—101111123
LJun 8 · 23:25K. Kolodziej—101141142K. Kapik—127115113
WJun 8 · 21:05K. Kolodziej—1111113K. Kapik—8880
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.367111111113J. Mitas3.0011713392WSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631WSep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht3.50411651K. Kolodziej1.2811611113WSep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.331111113J. Chmielowski3.256690LSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780WSep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.633G. Felkel1.442LSep 10 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.3671111113K. Kolodziej3.00115581WSep 10 · 10:50D. Michna1.8311117111K. Kolodziej1.8381311133LSep 10 · 09:20A. Grela1.4411116113K. Kolodziej2.63981151WSep 9 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.251111123G. Felkel1.5788100
K. Kapik10
WSep 10 · 18:50M. Olbrycht1.83712111552K. Kapik1.831114713113LSep 10 · 18:05K. Kapik1.8311411312J. Chmielowski1.83811711113WSep 10 · 16:30K. Kapik1.671111113K. Staszczyk2.107820LSep 10 · 15:45J. Mitas1.8311711113K. Kapik1.83911451LSep 9 · 23:20M. Rutkowski2.001113118113K. Kapik1.7391571142WSep 9 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.735790K. Kapik2.001111113WSep 9 · 22:10K. Kapik1.831111119113M. Olbrycht1.8361391162LSep 9 · 21:00J. Chmielowski1.571311113K. Kapik2.2511680LSep 9 · 24:10K. Kapik2.0091170M. Rutkowski1.731113113WSep 8 · 23:20K. Kapik1.441111113K. Kostyk2.636370
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