TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103314
Played Sep 10Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111171113113119
Jacek Mitas
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Jacek Mitas below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 66.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 14–1 Jacek Mitas Jacek Mitas has won 1 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kolodziej
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-1 in 15
Kolodziej
Correct
gap of 13 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1879 vs Mitas 1592
Kolodziej
Correct
both rated, 286 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 80% vs Mitas 20%
Kolodziej
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 60% vs Mitas 40%
Kolodziej
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej +3 · Mitas -2
Kolodziej
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kolodziej) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitas form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 1.36 / Mitas 3.00
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kolodziej)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13103314
Kolodziej1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite76% won 504 of 663
Up 2–0, closes it98% 312 of 319
Up 1–0, closes it88% 409 of 467
Mitas3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej9wins
AwayMitas1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolodziej leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej87.5%7 of 8
AwayMitasn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej8Mitas2n = 10Kolodziej took 8 of 10
S2Kolodziej8Mitas2n = 10Kolodziej took 8 of 10
S3Kolodziej10Mitas0n = 10Kolodziej took 10 of 10
S4Kolodziej2Mitas1n = 3Kolodziej took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejMitasK − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.724.9+11.8per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime1314 / 1954 vs 104 / 22667.3%46%1314 / 1954 vs 104 / 226Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejKolodziej 1.36/Mitas 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 20:30K. Kolodziej—1111113J. Mitas—6560
WAug 20 · 20:05K. Kolodziej—1111113J. Mitas—3460
WAug 2 · 16:05K. Kolodziej—1115113J. Mitas—91330
WJun 22 · 20:05K. Kolodziej—951111113J. Mitas—11116252
WJun 13 · 20:40K. Kolodziej—1111113J. Mitas—6470
WJun 12 · 17:25K. Kolodziej—1111113J. Mitas—4970
WJun 7 · 01:10K. Kolodziej—1111113J. Mitas—7670
LJun 6 · 22:45K. Kolodziej—11412962J. Mitas—6111011113
WJun 6 · 16:00K. Kolodziej—1111123J. Mitas—58100
WMay 27 · 01:30K. Kolodziej—91111113J. Mitas—117751
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.731111113K. Kapik2.003960WSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631WSep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht3.50411651K. Kolodziej1.2811611113WSep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.331111113J. Chmielowski3.256690LSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780WSep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.633G. Felkel1.442LSep 10 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.3671111113K. Kolodziej3.00115581WSep 10 · 10:50D. Michna1.8311117111K. Kolodziej1.8381311133LSep 10 · 09:20A. Grela1.4411116113K. Kolodziej2.63981151WSep 9 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.251111123G. Felkel1.5788100
J. Mitas10
LSep 10 · 17:40M. Olbrycht1.671111113J. Mitas2.104780LSep 10 · 16:55J. Mitas2.1081090J. Chmielowski1.671112113WSep 10 · 15:45J. Mitas1.8311711113K. Kapik1.83911451LAug 29 · 01:10J. Mitas1.50813451D. Solilo2.50111111113LAug 29 · 24:20J. Mitas1.5081461152K. Rudomina2.501112115113WAug 28 · 22:50J. Mitas2.501111113M. Rutkowski1.508980LAug 28 · 22:30J. Mitas2.10951171S. Sporek1.6711119113WAug 28 · 21:45T. Filbrandt1.91691151J. Mitas1.8011118113LAug 28 · 20:30J. Mitas3.406560K. Kolodziej1.301111113WAug 28 · 19:15S. Sporek1.6711111091J. Mitas2.1051312113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kolodziej
J. Mitas2 of 10 neutral
Sep 10 · 21:25J. Mitas2.10J. Chmielowski1.67—Sep 10 · 22:10J. Mitas2.10M. Olbrycht1.67—Sep 10 · 22:55J. Mitas1.61M. Kolek2.20—Sep 11 · 24:35J. Mitas1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 11 · 16:55J. Mitas—M. Marchlewski——Sep 11 · 17:40J. Mitas—M. Nowalinski——Sep 11 · 19:15J. Mitas—T. Filbrandt——Sep 11 · 20:05J. Mitas—P. Jendrzejewski——Sep 11 · 21:00J. Mitas—K. Strowski——Sep 11 · 22:05J. Mitas—T. Filbrandt——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.