TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13030541
Played Aug 29Finished
Jacek Mitas
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111311411511––
Dominik Solilo
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Mitas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJacek Mitas above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jacek Mitas at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Mitas 1–0 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mitas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mitas 1624 vs Solilo 1445
Mitas
Wrong
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitas 40% vs Solilo 20%
Mitas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitas 50% vs Solilo 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitas -1 · Solilo -3
Solilo
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mitas) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitas 1.50 / Solilo 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Mitas)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13030541
Mitas1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Solilo2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMitas1wins
AwaySolilo0wins
Mitas leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMitasSoliloM − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match38.034.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitasSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 222 vs 177 / 41046.4%43.2%103 / 222 vs 177 / 410Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitasMitas 1.50/Solilo 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Mitas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 16 · 13:30J. Mitas—51111113D. Solilo—117971
J. Mitas10
LAug 29 · 24:20J. Mitas1.5081461152K. Rudomina2.501112115113WAug 28 · 22:50J. Mitas2.501111113M. Rutkowski1.508980LAug 28 · 22:30J. Mitas2.10951171S. Sporek1.6711119113WAug 28 · 21:45T. Filbrandt1.91691151J. Mitas1.8011118113LAug 28 · 20:30J. Mitas3.406560K. Kolodziej1.301111113WAug 28 · 19:15S. Sporek1.6711111091J. Mitas2.1051312113WAug 28 · 18:05M. Rutkowski1.801271151J. Mitas1.9114117113LAug 28 · 16:30K. Kapik1.919111111113J. Mitas1.8011413662WAug 27 · 23:20J. Kwapis1.801191310152J. Mitas1.918111112173LAug 27 · 22:35J. Kuzmicz1.40116711113J. Mitas2.7591111992
D. Solilo10
WSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113WSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113WSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111LSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz1.3611811113D. Solilo3.00711951WSep 4 · 05:15A. Lilien1.9071190D. Solilo1.801113113WSep 4 · 04:25M. Minda1.5411860D. Solilo2.251311113LSep 4 · 03:00J. Zochniak1.6011116113D. Solilo2.10671141
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