TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13029382
Played Aug 28Finished
Jacek Mitas
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511611––––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Mitas above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 66.3%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Mitas 1–11 Krystian Kolodziej Jacek Mitas has won 1 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kolodziej
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-11 in 12
Kolodziej
Correct
gap of 10 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mitas 1624 vs Kolodziej 1744
Kolodziej
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitas 60% vs Kolodziej 40%
Mitas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitas 60% vs Kolodziej 20%
Mitas
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitas +2 · Kolodziej +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kolodziej) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitas 3.40 / Kolodziej 1.30
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Kolodziej)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13029382
Mitas3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 41 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Kolodziej1.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite76% won 517 of 680
Up 2–0, closes it98% 323 of 329
Up 1–0, closes it88% 423 of 482
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMitas1wins
AwayKolodziej9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolodziej leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMitas0%0 of 3
AwayKolodziej85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mitas3Kolodziej7n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S2Mitas3Kolodziej7n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S3Mitas0Kolodziej10n = 10Kolodziej took 10 of 10
S4Mitas2Kolodziej3n = 5Kolodziej took 3 of 5
S5Mitas1Kolodziej2n = 3Kolodziej took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMitasKolodziejM − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.238.7−10.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitasKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 217 vs 1305 / 193646.5%67.4%101 / 217 vs 1305 / 1936Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejMitas 3.40/Kolodziej 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 22 · 20:05J. Mitas—11116252K. Kolodziej—951111113
LJun 13 · 20:40J. Mitas—6470K. Kolodziej—1111113
LJun 12 · 17:25J. Mitas—4970K. Kolodziej—1111113
LJun 7 · 01:10J. Mitas—7670K. Kolodziej—1111113
WJun 6 · 22:45J. Mitas—6111011113K. Kolodziej—11412962
LJun 6 · 16:00J. Mitas—58100K. Kolodziej—1111123
LMay 27 · 01:30J. Mitas—117751K. Kolodziej—91111113
LMay 26 · 23:00J. Mitas—12550K. Kolodziej—1411113
LMay 26 · 15:55J. Mitas—5111151K. Kolodziej—11813113
LMay 25 · 17:50J. Mitas—11241162K. Kolodziej—711114113
J. Mitas10
LAug 29 · 01:10J. Mitas1.50813451D. Solilo2.50111111113LAug 29 · 24:20J. Mitas1.5081461152K. Rudomina2.501112115113WAug 28 · 22:50J. Mitas2.501111113M. Rutkowski1.508980LAug 28 · 22:30J. Mitas2.10951171S. Sporek1.6711119113WAug 28 · 21:45T. Filbrandt1.91691151J. Mitas1.8011118113WAug 28 · 19:15S. Sporek1.6711111091J. Mitas2.1051312113WAug 28 · 18:05M. Rutkowski1.801271151J. Mitas1.9114117113LAug 28 · 16:30K. Kapik1.919111111113J. Mitas1.8011413662WAug 27 · 23:20J. Kwapis1.801191310152J. Mitas1.918111112173LAug 27 · 22:35J. Kuzmicz1.40116711113J. Mitas2.7591111992
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113LSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752
Upcoming Matches
J. Mitas
Nothing scheduled
K. Kolodziej
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