TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13030545
Played Aug 28Finished
Tomasz Filbrandt
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911118511––
Jacek Mitas
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:01 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeJacek Mitas to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomasz Filbrandt above · Jacek Mitas below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jacek Mitas at 56.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 3–4 Jacek Mitas Tomasz Filbrandt has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:01What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mitas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1604 vs Mitas 1614
Mitas
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 60% vs Mitas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 50% vs Mitas 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt -2 · Mitas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mitas) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 1.91 / Mitas 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mitas)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13030545
Filbrandt1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 61 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 54
Mitas1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeFilbrandt3wins
AwayMitas4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMitas leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilbrandt60%3 of 5
AwayMitasn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filbrandt5Mitas2n = 7Filbrandt took 5 of 7
S2Filbrandt5Mitas2n = 7Filbrandt took 5 of 7
S3Filbrandt4Mitas3n = 7Filbrandt took 4 of 7
S4Filbrandt1Mitas4n = 5Mitas took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricFilbrandtMitasF − MBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match37.435.4+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime694 / 1290 vs 101 / 21853.8%46.3%694 / 1290 vs 101 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitasFilbrandt 1.91/Mitas 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mitas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mitas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 7 · 20:05T. Filbrandt—1111113J. Mitas—6970
WAug 6 · 15:00T. Filbrandt—121110113J. Mitas—1051231
LAug 1 · 23:15T. Filbrandt—1110691J. Mitas—91211113
LAug 1 · 20:30T. Filbrandt—11117662J. Mitas—561111113
WMay 13 · 01:05T. Filbrandt—1111113J. Mitas—4980
LMay 12 · 22:40T. Filbrandt—4811131J. Mitas—11115153
LMay 12 · 20:35T. Filbrandt—51111752J. Mitas—118511113
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192
J. Mitas10
LAug 29 · 01:10J. Mitas1.50813451D. Solilo2.50111111113LAug 29 · 24:20J. Mitas1.5081461152K. Rudomina2.501112115113WAug 28 · 22:50J. Mitas2.501111113M. Rutkowski1.508980LAug 28 · 22:30J. Mitas2.10951171S. Sporek1.6711119113LAug 28 · 20:30J. Mitas3.406560K. Kolodziej1.301111113WAug 28 · 19:15S. Sporek1.6711111091J. Mitas2.1051312113WAug 28 · 18:05M. Rutkowski1.801271151J. Mitas1.9114117113LAug 28 · 16:30K. Kapik1.919111111113J. Mitas1.8011413662WAug 27 · 23:20J. Kwapis1.801191310152J. Mitas1.918111112173LAug 27 · 22:35J. Kuzmicz1.40116711113J. Mitas2.7591111992
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