TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13021544
Played Aug 27Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119611711119119
Jacek Mitas
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Jacek Mitas below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 9–4 Jacek Mitas Jacek Mitas has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1773 vs Mitas 1582
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 40% vs Mitas 60%
Mitas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 50% vs Mitas 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -2 · Mitas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitas form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.40 / Mitas 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13021544
Kuzmicz1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 416 of 685
Up 2–0, closes it98% 169 of 172
Up 1–0, closes it81% 286 of 355
Mitas2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 39 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz7wins
AwayMitas3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz80%4 of 5
AwayMitas40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz5Mitas5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmicz5Mitas5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmicz7Mitas3n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmicz6Mitas3n = 9Kuzmicz took 6 of 9
S5Kuzmicz3Mitas2n = 5Kuzmicz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczMitasK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.437.3+5.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime635 / 1108 vs 98 / 21357.3%46%635 / 1108 vs 98 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.40/Mitas 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 20:30J. Kuzmicz—129511113J. Mitas—101111732
WAug 20 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz—41111113J. Mitas—114941
LAug 7 · 22:05J. Kuzmicz—11711682J. Mitas—711811113
WAug 7 · 16:05J. Kuzmicz—1111113J. Mitas—6590
LAug 6 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz—71281182J. Mitas—1110114113
WAug 1 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz—791311113J. Mitas—111111862
WJun 26 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz—811117113J. Mitas—11731172
WJun 25 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz—11811113J. Mitas—511651
WJun 7 · 17:05J. Kuzmicz—11116113J. Mitas—781181
LMay 26 · 23:50J. Kuzmicz—8911101J. Mitas—11117123
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192
J. Mitas10
LAug 29 · 01:10J. Mitas1.50813451D. Solilo2.50111111113LAug 29 · 24:20J. Mitas1.5081461152K. Rudomina2.501112115113WAug 28 · 22:50J. Mitas2.501111113M. Rutkowski1.508980LAug 28 · 22:30J. Mitas2.10951171S. Sporek1.6711119113WAug 28 · 21:45T. Filbrandt1.91691151J. Mitas1.8011118113LAug 28 · 20:30J. Mitas3.406560K. Kolodziej1.301111113WAug 28 · 19:15S. Sporek1.6711111091J. Mitas2.1051312113WAug 28 · 18:05M. Rutkowski1.801271151J. Mitas1.9114117113LAug 28 · 16:30K. Kapik1.919111111113J. Mitas1.8011413662WAug 27 · 23:20J. Kwapis1.801191310152J. Mitas1.918111112173
Upcoming Matches
J. Kuzmicz
J. Mitas
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.