TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105056
Played Sep 10Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117118––––
Jacek Mitas
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Olbrycht to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Olbrycht above · Jacek Mitas below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Michal Olbrycht at 58.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Olbrycht 2–0 Jacek Mitas Jacek Mitas has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Olbrycht
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Olbrycht 1615 vs Mitas 1606
Olbrycht
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olbrycht 40% vs Mitas 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olbrycht 30% vs Mitas 50%
Mitas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Olbrycht -1 · Mitas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Olbrycht) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 1.67 / Mitas 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Olbrycht)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13105056
Olbrycht1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 100 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 73 of 88
Mitas2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOlbrycht2wins
AwayMitas0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderOlbrycht leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOlbrychtMitasO − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.030.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 762 vs 104 / 22547.2%46.2%360 / 762 vs 104 / 225Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlbrychtOlbrycht 1.67/Mitas 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Olbrycht · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Olbrycht won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 8 · 24:20M. Olbrycht—125118113J. Mitas—101161122
WAug 7 · 21:45M. Olbrycht—1111113J. Mitas—9560
M. Olbrycht10
LSep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht3.50411651K. Kolodziej1.2811611113WSep 10 · 15:00M. Olbrycht1.8311119113K. Staszczyk1.83991111LSep 10 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.73111212113M. Olbrycht2.006101471WSep 9 · 22:55J. Chmielowski2.0099120M. Olbrycht1.731111143LSep 9 · 22:10K. Kapik1.831111119113M. Olbrycht1.8361391162LSep 9 · 21:25M. Rutkowski1.5341111113M. Olbrycht2.38113891LSep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.405890J. Braun1.301111113LSep 9 · 18:30A. Daniel1.61111111113M. Olbrycht2.20681361LSep 9 · 17:40J. Chmielowski2.00611116113M. Olbrycht1.7311581162WSep 9 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.201111113J. Krawczyk4.337890
J. Mitas10
LSep 10 · 16:55J. Mitas2.1081090J. Chmielowski1.671112113WSep 10 · 15:45J. Mitas1.8311711113K. Kapik1.83911451LAug 29 · 01:10J. Mitas1.50813451D. Solilo2.50111111113LAug 29 · 24:20J. Mitas1.5081461152K. Rudomina2.501112115113WAug 28 · 22:50J. Mitas2.501111113M. Rutkowski1.508980LAug 28 · 22:30J. Mitas2.10951171S. Sporek1.6711119113WAug 28 · 21:45T. Filbrandt1.91691151J. Mitas1.8011118113LAug 28 · 20:30J. Mitas3.406560K. Kolodziej1.301111113WAug 28 · 19:15S. Sporek1.6711111091J. Mitas2.1051312113WAug 28 · 18:05M. Rutkowski1.801271151J. Mitas1.9114117113
Upcoming Matches
M. Olbrycht
J. Mitas2 of 10 neutral
Sep 10 · 18:30J. Mitas3.00K. Kolodziej1.36—Sep 10 · 20:05J. Mitas2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 10 · 21:25J. Mitas2.10J. Chmielowski1.67—Sep 10 · 22:10J. Mitas2.10M. Olbrycht1.67—Sep 10 · 22:55J. Mitas1.61M. Kolek2.20—Sep 11 · 24:35J. Mitas1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 11 · 16:55J. Mitas—M. Marchlewski——Sep 11 · 17:40J. Mitas—M. Nowalinski——Sep 11 · 19:15J. Mitas—T. Filbrandt——Sep 11 · 20:05J. Mitas—P. Jendrzejewski——
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