TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103060
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811911––––
Josef Braun
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Braun to win
65.9%
65.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Olbrycht above · Josef Braun below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Josef Braun at 65.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Olbrycht 0–5 Josef Braun Michal Olbrycht has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Braun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Braun
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Olbrycht 1639 vs Braun 1817
Braun
Correct
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olbrycht 40% vs Braun 80%
Braun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olbrycht 50% vs Braun 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olbrycht -2 · Braun +4
Braun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Braun) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 3.40 / Braun 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Braun)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13103060
Olbrycht3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 96 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 76
Braun1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 143 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it91% 77 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it75% 109 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeOlbrycht0wins
AwayBraun5wins
2 of 5 to a deciderBraun leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlbrychtn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBraun100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olbrycht1Braun4n = 5Braun took 4 of 5
S2Olbrycht3Braun2n = 5Olbrycht took 3 of 5
S3Olbrycht1Braun4n = 5Braun took 4 of 5
S4Olbrycht1Braun3n = 4Braun took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricOlbrychtBraunO − BBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match35.044.2−9.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 755 vs 510 / 97447.4%52.4%358 / 755 vs 510 / 974Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BraunOlbrycht 3.40/Braun 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Braun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LMay 19 · 10:40M. Olbrycht—1211116112J. Braun—149711133
LMay 19 · 06:10M. Olbrycht—116661J. Braun—91111113
LOct 21 · 16:20M. Olbrycht—41181142J. Braun—119118113
LJun 12 · 13:10M. Olbrycht—911881J. Braun—11911113
LFeb 19 · 15:25M. Olbrycht—9390J. Braun—1111113
M. Olbrycht10
LSep 9 · 18:30A. Daniel1.61111111113M. Olbrycht2.20681361LSep 9 · 17:40J. Chmielowski2.00611116113M. Olbrycht1.7311581162WSep 9 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.201111113J. Krawczyk4.337890LSep 9 · 15:45M. Olbrycht5.005850M. Benes1.141111113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.83911861M. Olbrycht1.8311711113LSep 2 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz1.3612119113M. Olbrycht3.001091131WSep 2 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.108330M. Olbrycht1.671111113WSep 2 · 21:25J. Chmielowski2.20118871M. Olbrycht1.6171111113WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182LSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772
J. Braun10
WSep 9 · 19:15J. Krawczyk6.0011760J. Braun1.111311113WSep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel2.201341031J. Braun1.61111112113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Benes1.837118121J. Braun1.8311811143WSep 9 · 15:00J. Chmielowski4.337620J. Braun1.201111113LSep 9 · 14:15J. Braun1.3586100K. Wisniewski2.801111123WSep 9 · 12:35T. Spanik1.70115281J. Braun2.0081111113LSep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.2561211123J. Braun1.5411105101LSep 9 · 10:55J. Braun1.856911101M. Benes1.8011115123WSep 9 · 09:45J. Braun1.54128611113J. Kuzmicz2.25101111792LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751
Upcoming Matches
M. Olbrycht
Sep 9 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.38M. Rutkowski1.53—Sep 9 · 22:10M. Olbrycht1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 9 · 22:55M. Olbrycht1.73J. Chmielowski2.00—Sep 10 · 24:35M. Olbrycht2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 10 · 15:00M. Olbrycht—K. Staszczyk——Sep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht—K. Kolodziej——Sep 10 · 17:40M. Olbrycht—J. Mitas——Sep 10 · 18:50M. Olbrycht1.60K. Kapik2.20—Sep 10 · 20:30M. Olbrycht—J. Chmielowski——Sep 10 · 21:00M. Olbrycht—M. Kolek——
J. Braun
Nothing scheduled
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