TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099482
Played Sep 9Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161181113116––
Michal Olbrycht
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Daniel above · Michal Olbrycht below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Artur Daniel at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Artur Daniel 21–9 Michal Olbrycht Michal Olbrycht has won 9 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Daniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-9 in 30
Daniel
Correct
gap of 12 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1746 vs Olbrycht 1647
Daniel
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 40% vs Olbrycht 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 50% vs Olbrycht 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -1 · Olbrycht -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.61 / Olbrycht 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Daniel)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13099482
Daniel1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 210 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it94% 104 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it76% 159 of 210
Olbrycht2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 96 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel6wins
AwayOlbrycht4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDaniel leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel100%4 of 4
AwayOlbrycht66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel4Olbrycht6n = 10Olbrycht took 6 of 10
S2Daniel6Olbrycht4n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S3Daniel5Olbrycht5n = 10split evenly
S4Daniel5Olbrycht3n = 8Daniel took 5 of 8
S5Daniel2Olbrycht1n = 3Daniel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielOlbrychtD − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.5+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielOlbrychtBasisWin rate · lifetime783 / 1473 vs 358 / 75453.2%47.5%783 / 1473 vs 358 / 754Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.61/Olbrycht 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 19:15A. Daniel—12470M. Olbrycht—1411113
WJul 24 · 17:40A. Daniel—11128113M. Olbrycht—8101161
WJul 24 · 09:00A. Daniel—11915143M. Olbrycht—91113121
WMay 21 · 09:30A. Daniel—1111113M. Olbrycht—5670
WMay 20 · 14:45A. Daniel—111013113M. Olbrycht—9121131
LMay 8 · 14:45A. Daniel—1011581M. Olbrycht—12711113
LMay 7 · 15:05A. Daniel—71111582M. Olbrycht—115811113
LApr 29 · 17:25A. Daniel—615781M. Olbrycht—111311113
WApr 22 · 12:20A. Daniel—911712113M. Olbrycht—117111092
WApr 22 · 06:10A. Daniel—561111113M. Olbrycht—11118782
A. Daniel10
LSep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel2.201341031J. Braun1.61111112113WSep 9 · 16:05J. Chmielowski2.5051390A. Daniel1.501115113WSep 9 · 15:25A. Daniel1.2811711113J. Krawczyk3.50611891LSep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel2.10101231142M. Benes1.601210117113LSep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83112661J. Kuzmicz1.8661111113WSep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.2561211123J. Braun1.5411105101LSep 9 · 10:05A. Daniel2.608870T. Spanik1.441111113WSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161WSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192LSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113
M. Olbrycht10
LSep 9 · 17:40J. Chmielowski2.00611116113M. Olbrycht1.7311581162WSep 9 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.201111113J. Krawczyk4.337890LSep 9 · 15:45M. Olbrycht5.005850M. Benes1.141111113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.83911861M. Olbrycht1.8311711113LSep 2 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz1.3612119113M. Olbrycht3.001091131WSep 2 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.108330M. Olbrycht1.671111113WSep 2 · 21:25J. Chmielowski2.20118871M. Olbrycht1.6171111113WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182LSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.001211113M. Olbrycht1.7310660
Upcoming Matches
A. Daniel
M. Olbrycht1 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.40J. Braun1.30—Sep 9 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.38M. Rutkowski1.53—Sep 9 · 22:10M. Olbrycht1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 9 · 22:55M. Olbrycht1.73J. Chmielowski2.00—Sep 10 · 24:35M. Olbrycht2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 10 · 15:00M. Olbrycht—K. Staszczyk——Sep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht—K. Kolodziej——Sep 10 · 17:40M. Olbrycht—J. Mitas——Sep 10 · 18:50M. Olbrycht1.60K. Kapik2.20—Sep 10 · 20:30M. Olbrycht—J. Chmielowski——
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