TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108620
Played Sep 11Finished
Marcin Jadczyk
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111189111311115
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcin Jadczyk above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 99 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Marcin Jadczyk 7–5 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Jadczyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadczyk 1876 vs Kolodziej 1863
Jadczyk
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadczyk 60% vs Kolodziej 80%
Kolodziej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadczyk 60% vs Kolodziej 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadczyk -1 · Kolodziej -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadczyk 1.40 / Kolodziej 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jadczyk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13108620
Jadczyk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 429 of 678
Up 2–0, closes it98% 215 of 219
Up 1–0, closes it83% 337 of 406
Kolodziej2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog36% won 78 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadczyk5wins
AwayKolodziej5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadczyk60%3 of 5
AwayKolodziej60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadczyk5Kolodziej5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadczyk5Kolodziej5n = 10split evenly
S3Jadczyk5Kolodziej5n = 10split evenly
S4Jadczyk4Kolodziej4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadczykKolodziejJ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.737.0−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadczykKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime985 / 1681 vs 1310 / 194958.6%67.2%985 / 1681 vs 1310 / 1949Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykJadczyk 1.40/Kolodziej 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 6 · 09:40M. Jadczyk—11119113K. Kolodziej—881161
WJul 6 · 09:40M. Jadczyk—11119113K. Kolodziej—881161
LJul 3 · 10:50M. Jadczyk—5911101K. Kolodziej—11116123
WJul 2 · 12:55M. Jadczyk—31111143K. Kolodziej—1157121
LJun 30 · 10:25M. Jadczyk—119491K. Kolodziej—91111113
LJun 29 · 09:40M. Jadczyk—7111621K. Kolodziej—111314113
WJun 30 · 24:20M. Jadczyk—1411113K. Kolodziej—12660
LJun 29 · 21:55M. Jadczyk—148981K. Kolodziej—121111113
WJun 16 · 23:25M. Jadczyk—101111123K. Kolodziej—1286101
LJun 16 · 21:05M. Jadczyk—9840K. Kolodziej—1111113
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.4491111862K. Wloczko2.63119911113LSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351WSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113WSep 11 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.0010111181M. Jadczyk1.7312135113LSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113WSep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.6711115113J. Kuzmicz2.10691171LSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181WSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela1.80411741M. Jadczyk1.9111411113WSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.636480M. Jadczyk1.441111113WSep 10 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.3671111113K. Kolodziej3.00115581
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73111199113K. Kolodziej2.0097111182LSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.731111113K. Kapik2.003960WSep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.367111111113J. Mitas3.0011713392WSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631WSep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht3.50411651K. Kolodziej1.2811611113WSep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.331111113J. Chmielowski3.256690LSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780WSep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.633G. Felkel1.442LSep 10 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.3671111113K. Kolodziej3.00115581
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