TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109501
Played Sep 11Finished
Marcin Jadczyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911119119811611
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarcin Jadczyk above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 64.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Marcin Jadczyk 50–28 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 28 of their 78 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:33What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-28 in 78
Jadczyk
Wrong
gap of 22 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadczyk 1876 vs Wloczko 1842
Jadczyk
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadczyk 60% vs Wloczko 40%
Jadczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadczyk 70% vs Wloczko 40%
Jadczyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadczyk +1 · Wloczko -3
Wloczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadczyk 1.44 / Wloczko 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Jadczyk)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13109501
Jadczyk1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 429 of 678
Up 2–0, closes it98% 215 of 219
Up 1–0, closes it83% 337 of 406
Wloczko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 162 of 401
Down 0–1, comes back18% 39 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadczyk5wins
AwayWloczko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadczyk80%4 of 5
AwayWloczko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadczyk5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadczyk5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Jadczyk7Wloczko3n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S4Jadczyk4Wloczko4n = 8split evenly
S5Jadczyk1Wloczko2n = 3Wloczko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadczykWloczkoJ − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.934.3+5.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadczykWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime985 / 1681 vs 954 / 182758.6%52.2%985 / 1681 vs 954 / 1827Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykJadczyk 1.44/Wloczko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 03:45M. Jadczyk—5101181K. Wloczko—11127113
WSep 10 · 12:55M. Jadczyk—1111113K. Wloczko—6480
LSep 10 · 07:45M. Jadczyk—1361181K. Wloczko—15114113
WSep 3 · 04:30M. Jadczyk—51111113K. Wloczko—116961
WSep 2 · 10:25M. Jadczyk—11911113K. Wloczko—611561
LSep 2 · 04:30M. Jadczyk—11641182K. Wloczko—911116113
LAug 31 · 10:25M. Jadczyk—1011911142K. Wloczko—125116163
LAug 31 · 04:30M. Jadczyk—1011671K. Wloczko—12711113
WAug 28 · 11:40M. Jadczyk—1111113K. Wloczko—5430
WAug 24 · 04:30M. Jadczyk—1191110113K. Wloczko—61131202
M. Jadczyk10
WSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351WSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113WSep 11 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.0010111181M. Jadczyk1.7312135113LSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113WSep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.6711115113J. Kuzmicz2.10691171LSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181WSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela1.80411741M. Jadczyk1.9111411113WSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.636480M. Jadczyk1.441111113WSep 10 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.3671111113K. Kolodziej3.00115581
K. Wloczko10
LSep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.677111411113K. Wloczko2.1011416562LSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.911191110143K. Wloczko1.80811612122LSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143WSep 11 · 05:40M. Miastowski1.8351131182K. Wloczko1.83116117113LSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113WSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181WSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780LSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.636480M. Jadczyk1.441111113LSep 10 · 11:40K. Wloczko1.915970D. Michna1.801111113
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