TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108617
Played Sep 11Finished
Martin Olejnik
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121178111141210
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:06 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Olejnik above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 57.5%
96 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:06What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Olejnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Olejnik 1842 vs Kolodziej 1862
Kolodziej
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olejnik 40% vs Kolodziej 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olejnik 60% vs Kolodziej 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olejnik -2 · Kolodziej +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Olejnik) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlejnik 1.53 / Kolodziej 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13108617
Olejnik1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 199 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it85% 148 of 174
Kolodziej2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 78 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlejnikKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 829 vs 1311 / 195154.4%67.2%451 / 829 vs 1311 / 1951Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikOlejnik 1.53/Kolodziej 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Olejnik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Olejnik10
LSep 11 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.83111011113M. Olejnik1.83512691LSep 11 · 12:55K. Strowski3.0081111113M. Olejnik1.36119781WSep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.677111411113K. Wloczko2.1011416562WSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351LSep 11 · 08:30M. Miastowski2.381191111123M. Olejnik1.53911813102LSep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61412381J. Kuzmicz2.20111011113WSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113WSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113WSep 11 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz4.3311611762M. Olejnik1.20411911113WSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.251311661K. Kolodziej1.5715811113LSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73111199113K. Kolodziej2.0097111182LSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.731111113K. Kapik2.003960WSep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.367111111113J. Mitas3.0011713392WSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631WSep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht3.50411651K. Kolodziej1.2811611113WSep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.331111113J. Chmielowski3.256690LSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780
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