TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108618
Played Sep 11Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1315118611611––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 81 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Krzysztof Wloczko at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 28–25 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 25 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolodziej
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-25 in 53
Wloczko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1855 vs Kolodziej 1849
Wloczko
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Kolodziej 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 50% vs Kolodziej 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +1 · Kolodziej -3
Kolodziej
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kolodziej) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.25 / Kolodziej 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kolodziej)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13108618
Wloczko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 162 of 401
Down 0–1, comes back18% 39 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 131
Kolodziej1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite76% won 498 of 658
Up 2–0, closes it98% 307 of 314
Up 1–0, closes it87% 404 of 462
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko6wins
AwayKolodziej4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderWloczko leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko66.7%4 of 6
AwayKolodziej50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko6Kolodziej4n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S2Wloczko3Kolodziej7n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S3Wloczko2Kolodziej8n = 10Kolodziej took 8 of 10
S4Wloczko8Kolodziej2n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S5Wloczko5Kolodziej2n = 7Wloczko took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoKolodziejW − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.546.4−0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime955 / 1828 vs 1310 / 195052.2%67.2%955 / 1828 vs 1310 / 1950Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejWloczko 2.25/Kolodziej 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 12:10K. Wloczko—491214113K. Kolodziej—1111101282
LAug 12 · 13:00K. Wloczko—81113101K. Kolodziej—11815123
WAug 10 · 11:15K. Wloczko—1313811113K. Kolodziej—111511882
WAug 7 · 14:35K. Wloczko—711811113K. Kolodziej—11811982
LAug 4 · 13:50K. Wloczko—118131152K. Kolodziej—611156113
WAug 3 · 09:00K. Wloczko—116411113K. Kolodziej—81111782
LAug 2 · 13:20K. Wloczko—11410111K. Kolodziej—51112133
LJul 31 · 14:15K. Wloczko—118111172K. Kolodziej—131176113
WJul 22 · 14:10K. Wloczko—117511113K. Kolodziej—81111882
WJul 17 · 12:05K. Wloczko—11114133K. Kolodziej—8711111
K. Wloczko10
WSep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.4491111862K. Wloczko2.63119911113LSep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.677111411113K. Wloczko2.1011416562LSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.911191110143K. Wloczko1.80811612122LSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143WSep 11 · 05:40M. Miastowski1.8351131182K. Wloczko1.83116117113LSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113WSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181WSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780LSep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.636480M. Jadczyk1.441111113
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73111199113K. Kolodziej2.0097111182LSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.731111113K. Kapik2.003960WSep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.367111111113J. Mitas3.0011713392WSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631WSep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht3.50411651K. Kolodziej1.2811611113WSep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.331111113J. Chmielowski3.256690LSep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.101111113K. Kolodziej1.679780WSep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.633G. Felkel1.442
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