TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110401
Played Sep 12Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117611115––
Jacek Mitas
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Jacek Mitas below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 75.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 6–1 Jacek Mitas Jacek Mitas has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Mitas beat Jendrzejewski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Jendrzejewski
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1608 vs Mitas 1590
Jendrzejewski
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Mitas 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 30% vs Mitas 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski +1 · Mitas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.50 / Mitas 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13110401
Jendrzejewski1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 145 of 254
Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it81% 114 of 141
Mitas2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski6wins
AwayMitas1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderJendrzejewski leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski100%5 of 5
AwayMitasn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski5Mitas2n = 7Jendrzejewski took 5 of 7
S2Jendrzejewski7Mitas0n = 7Jendrzejewski took 7 of 7
S3Jendrzejewski2Mitas5n = 7Mitas took 5 of 7
S4Jendrzejewski5Mitas1n = 6Jendrzejewski took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiMitasJ − MBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match43.034.1+8.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 721 vs 109 / 24149%45.2%353 / 721 vs 109 / 241Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.50/Mitas 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski—11116113J. Mitas—771151
LSep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski—711121162J. Mitas—116143113
WAug 7 · 24:10P. Jendrzejewski—11111110133J. Mitas—171312112
WAug 6 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski—111111113J. Mitas—661381
WJun 13 · 01:30P. Jendrzejewski—1111113J. Mitas—7790
WJun 12 · 23:00P. Jendrzejewski—11117123J. Mitas—6811101
WJun 12 · 16:40P. Jendrzejewski—81111113J. Mitas—119631
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980LSep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.838950K. Staszczyk1.831111113LSep 11 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski1.531191111102M. Marchlewski2.38131159123WSep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.911212113T. Filbrandt1.80101090LSep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44711121162J. Mitas2.63116143113LSep 11 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.6191111782M. Marchlewski2.20117511113LSep 11 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.50881141K. Strowski1.5011115113LSep 11 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8371161192M. Nowalinski1.83118114113WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980
J. Mitas10
LSep 12 · 24:45J. Mitas2.00116661K. Staszczyk1.7331111113WSep 11 · 23:55J. Mitas1.6711118133M. Marchlewski2.106911111LSep 11 · 22:05J. Mitas2.2512148732T. Filbrandt1.5710121111113LSep 11 · 21:00K. Strowski1.33116811113J. Mitas3.2571111552WSep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44711121162J. Mitas2.63116143113WSep 11 · 19:15J. Mitas2.001112113T. Filbrandt1.7391060LSep 11 · 17:40J. Mitas2.6351111852M. Nowalinski1.44119611113WSep 11 · 16:55M. Marchlewski1.833540J. Mitas1.831111113LSep 11 · 24:35K. Kapik1.8311116113J. Mitas1.83891171LSep 10 · 22:55M. Kolek2.10111176113J. Mitas1.6786111172
Upcoming Matches
P. Jendrzejewski2 of 9 neutral
Sep 12 · 15:45P. Jendrzejewski—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski—M. Kolek——Sep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski—T. Filbrandt——Sep 12 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski—M. Marchlewski——Sep 12 · 19:40P. Jendrzejewski—J. Kuzmicz——Sep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski—M. Marchlewski——Sep 12 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski—D. Jadam——Sep 13 · 24:10P. Jendrzejewski—T. Filbrandt——
J. Mitas
Nothing scheduled
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