TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110406
Played Sep 11Finished
Jacek Mitas
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210116––––
Tomasz Filbrandt
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJacek Mitas above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 59 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Tomasz Filbrandt at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Mitas 4–3 Tomasz Filbrandt Tomasz Filbrandt has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Filbrandt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mitas 1560 vs Filbrandt 1635
Filbrandt
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitas 20% vs Filbrandt 60%
Filbrandt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitas 20% vs Filbrandt 60%
Filbrandt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitas -1 · Filbrandt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Filbrandt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitas form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitas 2.00 / Filbrandt 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Filbrandt)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13110406
Mitas2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Filbrandt1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 145 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it79% 98 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMitas4wins
AwayFilbrandt3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMitas leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMitasn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFilbrandt60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mitas2Filbrandt5n = 7Filbrandt took 5 of 7
S2Mitas2Filbrandt5n = 7Filbrandt took 5 of 7
S3Mitas3Filbrandt4n = 7Filbrandt took 4 of 7
S4Mitas4Filbrandt1n = 5Mitas took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricMitasFilbrandtM − FBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match35.437.4−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitasFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 234 vs 683 / 127845.3%53.4%106 / 234 vs 683 / 1278Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FilbrandtMitas 2.00/Filbrandt 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Filbrandt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mitas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 7 · 20:05J. Mitas—6970T. Filbrandt—1111113
LAug 6 · 15:00J. Mitas—1051231T. Filbrandt—121110113
WAug 1 · 23:15J. Mitas—91211113T. Filbrandt—1110691
WAug 1 · 20:30J. Mitas—561111113T. Filbrandt—11117662
LMay 13 · 01:05J. Mitas—4980T. Filbrandt—1111113
WMay 12 · 22:40J. Mitas—11115153T. Filbrandt—4811131
WMay 12 · 20:35J. Mitas—118511113T. Filbrandt—51111752
J. Mitas10
WSep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44711121162J. Mitas2.63116143113LSep 11 · 17:40J. Mitas2.6351111852M. Nowalinski1.44119611113WSep 11 · 16:55M. Marchlewski1.833540J. Mitas1.831111113LSep 11 · 24:35K. Kapik1.8311116113J. Mitas1.83891171LSep 10 · 22:55M. Kolek2.10111176113J. Mitas1.6786111172LSep 10 · 22:10M. Olbrycht1.5313119113J. Mitas2.381171171WSep 10 · 21:25J. Chmielowski1.671161171J. Mitas2.1041113113LSep 10 · 20:05J. Mitas2.00111116862K. Staszczyk1.73561811113LSep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.367111111113J. Mitas3.0011713392LSep 10 · 17:40M. Olbrycht1.671111113J. Mitas2.104780
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 11 · 18:05M. Marchlewski2.00311891T. Filbrandt1.7311911113LSep 11 · 16:30K. Strowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008780WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103
Upcoming Matches
J. Mitas
T. Filbrandt2 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 20:30T. Filbrandt2.63M. Nowalinski1.44—Sep 11 · 21:45T. Filbrandt1.80P. Jendrzejewski1.91—Sep 11 · 22:05T. Filbrandt1.73J. Mitas2.00—Sep 11 · 23:15T. Filbrandt1.80M. Marchlewski1.91—Sep 11 · 23:35T. Filbrandt1.67K. Staszczyk2.10—Sep 12 · 24:20T. Filbrandt1.83P. Jendrzejewski1.83—Sep 12 · 15:25T. Filbrandt—J. Kuzmicz——Sep 12 · 16:55T. Filbrandt—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 18:05T. Filbrandt—P. Jendrzejewski——Sep 12 · 19:15T. Filbrandt—M. Kolek——
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