TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110405
Played Sep 11Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111161214113611
Jacek Mitas
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Jacek Mitas below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 75.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 5–0 Jacek Mitas Jacek Mitas has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1607 vs Mitas 1577
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 20% vs Mitas 40%
Mitas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Mitas 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -3 · Mitas +1
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.44 / Mitas 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13110405
Jendrzejewski1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 145 of 254
Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it81% 114 of 141
Mitas2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski5wins
AwayMitas0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderJendrzejewski leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski100%4 of 4
AwayMitasn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski4Mitas1n = 5Jendrzejewski took 4 of 5
S2Jendrzejewski5Mitas0n = 5Jendrzejewski took 5 of 5
S3Jendrzejewski2Mitas3n = 5Mitas took 3 of 5
S4Jendrzejewski3Mitas1n = 4Jendrzejewski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiMitasJ − MBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match43.032.8+10.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 715 vs 107 / 23549%45.5%350 / 715 vs 107 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.44/Mitas 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mitas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 7 · 24:10P. Jendrzejewski—11111110133J. Mitas—171312112
WAug 6 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski—111111113J. Mitas—661381
WJun 13 · 01:30P. Jendrzejewski—1111113J. Mitas—7790
WJun 12 · 23:00P. Jendrzejewski—11117123J. Mitas—6811101
WJun 12 · 16:40P. Jendrzejewski—81111113J. Mitas—119631
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 11 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.6191111782M. Marchlewski2.20117511113LSep 11 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.50881141K. Strowski1.5011115113LSep 11 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8371161192M. Nowalinski1.83118114113WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113
J. Mitas10
WSep 11 · 19:15J. Mitas2.001112113T. Filbrandt1.7391060LSep 11 · 17:40J. Mitas2.6351111852M. Nowalinski1.44119611113WSep 11 · 16:55M. Marchlewski1.833540J. Mitas1.831111113LSep 11 · 24:35K. Kapik1.8311116113J. Mitas1.83891171LSep 10 · 22:55M. Kolek2.10111176113J. Mitas1.6786111172LSep 10 · 22:10M. Olbrycht1.5313119113J. Mitas2.381171171WSep 10 · 21:25J. Chmielowski1.671161171J. Mitas2.1041113113LSep 10 · 20:05J. Mitas2.00111116862K. Staszczyk1.73561811113LSep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.367111111113J. Mitas3.0011713392LSep 10 · 17:40M. Olbrycht1.671111113J. Mitas2.104780
Upcoming Matches
P. Jendrzejewski3 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.91T. Filbrandt1.80—Sep 11 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61M. Marchlewski2.20—Sep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.83K. Staszczyk1.83—Sep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—Sep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.44J. Mitas2.63—Sep 12 · 15:45P. Jendrzejewski—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski—M. Kolek——Sep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski—T. Filbrandt——Sep 12 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski—M. Marchlewski——Sep 12 · 19:40P. Jendrzejewski—J. Kuzmicz——
J. Mitas
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