TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113610
Played Sep 11Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117115711811
Marcin Marchlewski
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:33 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Marcin Marchlewski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 56.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 6–4 Marcin Marchlewski Marcin Marchlewski has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1621 vs Marchlewski 1531
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Marchlewski 20%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Marchlewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -2 · Marchlewski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.61 / Marchlewski 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13113610
Jendrzejewski1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 145 of 254
Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it81% 114 of 141
Marchlewski2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 71 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski6wins
AwayMarchlewski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJendrzejewski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski75%3 of 4
AwayMarchlewski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski4Marchlewski6n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S2Jendrzejewski6Marchlewski4n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S3Jendrzejewski5Marchlewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Jendrzejewski6Marchlewski2n = 8Jendrzejewski took 6 of 8
S5Jendrzejewski3Marchlewski3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiMarchlewskiJ − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.740.5+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 714 vs 444 / 92149%48.2%350 / 714 vs 444 / 921Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.61/Marchlewski 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski—101181182M. Marchlewski—128119113
LJul 11 · 01:30P. Jendrzejewski—149111272M. Marchlewski—1611610113
WJul 10 · 23:15P. Jendrzejewski—1111910113M. Marchlewski—77111292
WJul 10 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski—11911113M. Marchlewski—511771
WJun 12 · 15:55P. Jendrzejewski—1111133M. Marchlewski—95110
LMar 14 · 20:30P. Jendrzejewski—11112982M. Marchlewski—671111113
WMar 14 · 16:35P. Jendrzejewski—91111113M. Marchlewski—116861
LMar 14 · 24:50P. Jendrzejewski—48100M. Marchlewski—1111123
WMar 13 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski—911911113M. Marchlewski—11611982
WMar 13 · 18:00P. Jendrzejewski—791111133M. Marchlewski—111137112
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 11 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.50881141K. Strowski1.5011115113LSep 11 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8371161192M. Nowalinski1.83118114113WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113
M. Marchlewski10
LSep 11 · 18:05M. Marchlewski2.00311891T. Filbrandt1.7311911113LSep 11 · 16:55M. Marchlewski1.833540J. Mitas1.831111113WAug 23 · 23:20F. Mlynarski1.3069141192M. Marchlewski3.401111127113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Kolek1.8311115113M. Marchlewski1.83981171LAug 23 · 22:10M. Marchlewski4.00611771M. Rutkowski1.2211911113WAug 23 · 21:00J. Chmielowski1.7381181142M. Marchlewski2.00115116113WAug 23 · 19:40J. Zochniak1.8511115982M. Marchlewski1.82951111113LAug 23 · 18:55A. Linek2.9571111113M. Marchlewski1.34112451LAug 23 · 18:10M. Marchlewski1.65119711112B. Sulkowski2.10411118133WAug 23 · 16:35M. Marchlewski1.121112113D. Poloszczanski5.0031050
Upcoming Matches
P. Jendrzejewski1 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44J. Mitas2.63—Sep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—Sep 11 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61M. Marchlewski2.20—Sep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.83K. Staszczyk1.83—Sep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—Sep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.44J. Mitas2.63—Sep 12 · 15:45P. Jendrzejewski—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski—M. Kolek——Sep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski—T. Filbrandt——Sep 12 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski—M. Marchlewski——
M. Marchlewski1 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 19:40M. Marchlewski2.63K. Strowski1.44—Sep 11 · 21:20M. Marchlewski2.63M. Nowalinski1.44—Sep 11 · 22:30M. Marchlewski2.20P. Jendrzejewski1.61—Sep 11 · 23:15M. Marchlewski1.91T. Filbrandt1.80—Sep 11 · 23:55M. Marchlewski1.83J. Mitas1.83—Sep 12 · 01:30M. Marchlewski2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 12 · 15:00M. Marchlewski—M. Kolek——Sep 12 · 16:05M. Marchlewski—J. Kuzmicz——Sep 12 · 17:40M. Marchlewski—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 18:50M. Marchlewski—P. Jendrzejewski——
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