TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12476126
Played Aug 23Finished
Marcin Marchlewski
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1149117111181113
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1149117111181113
H2H Marcin Marchlewski 6–3 Bartosz Sulkowski Bartosz Sulkowski has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:46What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Marchlewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Marchlewski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1572 vs Sulkowski 1460
Marchlewski
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 60% vs Sulkowski 80%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 60% vs Sulkowski 80%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski -1 · Sulkowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Marchlewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 1.65 / Sulkowski 2.10
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Marchlewski)+10.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12476126
Marchlewski1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 110 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 80 of 99
Sulkowski2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 170 of 527
Down 0–1, comes back17% 50 of 302
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMarchlewski6wins
AwaySulkowski3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderMarchlewski leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski71.4%5 of 7
AwaySulkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski7Sulkowski2n = 9Marchlewski took 7 of 9
S2Marchlewski5Sulkowski4n = 9Marchlewski took 5 of 9
S3Marchlewski4Sulkowski5n = 9Sulkowski took 5 of 9
S4Marchlewski4Sulkowski4n = 8split evenly
S5Marchlewski2Sulkowski1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiSulkowskiM − SBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match39.938.2+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 988 vs 509 / 116148.1%43.8%475 / 988 vs 509 / 1161Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarchlewskiMarchlewski 1.65/Sulkowski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66%
Marchlewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJun 13 · 10:55M. Marchlewski—781171B. Sulkowski—11116113
WJun 7 · 13:10M. Marchlewski—11117113B. Sulkowski—781171
WMay 17 · 10:05M. Marchlewski—911311113B. Sulkowski—11811462
WMay 16 · 10:05M. Marchlewski—111198113B. Sulkowski—77111162
WApr 25 · 10:40M. Marchlewski—11611113B. Sulkowski—911861
LApr 5 · 12:45M. Marchlewski—11911732B. Sulkowski—811711113
LApr 5 · 03:30M. Marchlewski—116881B. Sulkowski—91111113
WFeb 8 · 10:30M. Marchlewski—11118113B. Sulkowski—991161
WFeb 8 · 06:45M. Marchlewski—1311133B. Sulkowski—119110
M. Marchlewski10
WAug 23 · 23:20F. Mlynarski1.3069141192M. Marchlewski3.401111127113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Kolek1.8311115113M. Marchlewski1.83981171LAug 23 · 22:10M. Marchlewski4.00611771M. Rutkowski1.2211911113WAug 23 · 21:00J. Chmielowski1.7381181142M. Marchlewski2.00115116113WAug 23 · 19:40J. Zochniak1.8511115982M. Marchlewski1.82951111113LAug 23 · 18:55A. Linek2.9571111113M. Marchlewski1.34112451WAug 23 · 16:35M. Marchlewski1.121112113D. Poloszczanski5.0031050LAug 23 · 15:50A. Wos1.9711114113M. Marchlewski1.72861181WAug 23 · 24:10M. Marchlewski1.911111123J. Chmielowski1.8089100LAug 22 · 23:20M. Marchlewski1.808580L. Pietraszko1.911111113
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 9 · 07:40B. Sulkowski2.45851131D. Solilo1.4511118113LSep 9 · 06:25B. Sulkowski2.206870P. Blocho1.571111113WSep 9 · 05:15B. Sulkowski1.8291111113R. Stapor1.90118661WSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.301051181B. Czerwinski1.5512118113WSep 8 · 14:40S. Brud1.60611961B. Sulkowski2.1511711113LSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 12:15A. Sobel1.60111110113B. Sulkowski2.15961261WSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133WSep 8 · 09:25J. Glanowski1.87118781B. Sulkowski1.8351111113
Upcoming Matches
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B. Sulkowski
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