TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12476130
Played Aug 23Finished
Alan Wos
Home
1.97
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116411118––
Marcin Marchlewski
Away
1.72
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlan Wos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
118116411118––
H2H Alan Wos 11–21 Marcin Marchlewski Alan Wos has won 11 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:41What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (53%)
Marchlewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-21 in 32
Marchlewski
Wrong
gap of 10 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wos 1564 vs Marchlewski 1585
Marchlewski
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 80% vs Marchlewski 60%
Wos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 60% vs Marchlewski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos +2 · Marchlewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Marchlewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 1.97 / Marchlewski 1.72
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Marchlewski)+5.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12476130
Wos1.97
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 90 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 95
Marchlewski1.72
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 110 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 80 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWos3wins
AwayMarchlewski7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMarchlewski leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWos25%1 of 4
AwayMarchlewski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wos4Marchlewski6n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S2Wos5Marchlewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Wos6Marchlewski4n = 10Wos took 6 of 10
S4Wos3Marchlewski6n = 9Marchlewski took 6 of 9
S5Wos2Marchlewski4n = 6Marchlewski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWosMarchlewskiW − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.543.4−4.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 647 vs 477 / 98938.5%48.2%249 / 647 vs 477 / 989Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarchlewskiWos 1.97/Marchlewski 1.72
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.4%
Marchlewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 18:50A. Wos—213551M. Marchlewski—111111113
WJul 10 · 16:55A. Wos—311117113M. Marchlewski—11691192
LJun 27 · 01:30A. Wos—116111342M. Marchlewski—711315113
LJun 26 · 23:15A. Wos—571161M. Marchlewski—11119113
LMay 24 · 20:40A. Wos—71411492M. Marchlewski—1112911113
LMay 23 · 16:25A. Wos—44111162M. Marchlewski—111159113
LMay 16 · 19:05A. Wos—14891162M. Marchlewski—1211115113
WMay 15 · 19:00A. Wos—611811113M. Marchlewski—11811782
WApr 26 · 13:50A. Wos—1111113M. Marchlewski—7740
LApr 5 · 11:30A. Wos—118781M. Marchlewski—81111113
A. Wos10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640LSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191
M. Marchlewski10
WAug 23 · 23:20F. Mlynarski1.3069141192M. Marchlewski3.401111127113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Kolek1.8311115113M. Marchlewski1.83981171LAug 23 · 22:10M. Marchlewski4.00611771M. Rutkowski1.2211911113WAug 23 · 21:00J. Chmielowski1.7381181142M. Marchlewski2.00115116113WAug 23 · 19:40J. Zochniak1.8511115982M. Marchlewski1.82951111113LAug 23 · 18:55A. Linek2.9571111113M. Marchlewski1.34112451LAug 23 · 18:10M. Marchlewski1.65119711112B. Sulkowski2.10411118133WAug 23 · 16:35M. Marchlewski1.121112113D. Poloszczanski5.0031050WAug 23 · 24:10M. Marchlewski1.911111123J. Chmielowski1.8089100LAug 22 · 23:20M. Marchlewski1.808580L. Pietraszko1.911111113
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