TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12476124
Played Aug 23Finished
Adam Linek
Home
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711112114115––
Marcin Marchlewski
Away
1.34
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
711112114115––
H2H Adam Linek 4–5 Marcin Marchlewski Adam Linek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:48What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.34 (69%)
Marchlewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Linek 1444 vs Marchlewski 1572
Marchlewski
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 60% vs Marchlewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 60% vs Marchlewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek -1 · Marchlewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Marchlewski) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 2.95 / Marchlewski 1.34
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Marchlewski)+8.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12476124
Linek2.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 178 of 428
Down 0–1, comes back24% 56 of 238
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 124
Marchlewski1.34
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 110 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 80 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLinek4wins
AwayMarchlewski5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderMarchlewski leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLinek75%3 of 4
AwayMarchlewski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Linek4Marchlewski5n = 9Marchlewski took 5 of 9
S2Linek5Marchlewski4n = 9Linek took 5 of 9
S3Linek1Marchlewski8n = 9Marchlewski took 8 of 9
S4Linek4Marchlewski3n = 7Linek took 4 of 7
S5Linek2Marchlewski1n = 3Linek took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricLinekMarchlewskiL − MBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match36.840.8−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime802 / 1728 vs 475 / 98846.4%48.1%802 / 1728 vs 475 / 988Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarchlewskiLinek 2.95/Marchlewski 1.34
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.8%
Marchlewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LDec 26 · 24:45A. Linek—5580M. Marchlewski—1111113
LDec 25 · 22:20A. Linek—124561M. Marchlewski—101111113
WDec 7 · 01:45A. Linek—6111611113M. Marchlewski—11618582
LDec 6 · 23:20A. Linek—8870M. Marchlewski—1111113
WNov 8 · 14:35A. Linek—11124123M. Marchlewski—71011101
LJul 20 · 12:20A. Linek—411711122M. Marchlewski—114118143
WJul 19 · 11:30A. Linek—1111117113M. Marchlewski—88131182
LMay 11 · 11:30A. Linek—811951M. Marchlewski—11611113
WFeb 2 · 04:30A. Linek—11711113M. Marchlewski—911891
A. Linek10
LSep 8 · 08:35J. Glanowski1.901523911173A. Linek1.801325118152WSep 8 · 07:20A. Linek1.75101111143A. Myszewski1.981289121LSep 8 · 06:05D. Wrobel2.35911113113A. Linek1.5011681182LSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831151110113A. Linek1.8781171272WSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113LSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113WSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842LSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WAug 25 · 13:55A. Linek2.251111412113A. Sobel1.5426111482
M. Marchlewski10
WAug 23 · 23:20F. Mlynarski1.3069141192M. Marchlewski3.401111127113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Kolek1.8311115113M. Marchlewski1.83981171LAug 23 · 22:10M. Marchlewski4.00611771M. Rutkowski1.2211911113WAug 23 · 21:00J. Chmielowski1.7381181142M. Marchlewski2.00115116113WAug 23 · 19:40J. Zochniak1.8511115982M. Marchlewski1.82951111113LAug 23 · 18:10M. Marchlewski1.65119711112B. Sulkowski2.10411118133WAug 23 · 16:35M. Marchlewski1.121112113D. Poloszczanski5.0031050LAug 23 · 15:50A. Wos1.9711114113M. Marchlewski1.72861181WAug 23 · 24:10M. Marchlewski1.911111123J. Chmielowski1.8089100LAug 22 · 23:20M. Marchlewski1.808580L. Pietraszko1.911111113
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