TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110240
Played Sep 11Finished
Konrad Staszczyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411116117411411
Maciej Kolek
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
411116117411411
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 2–2 Maciej Kolek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:04What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Staszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1631 vs Kolek 1664
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 60% vs Kolek 80%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 50% vs Kolek 70%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk -1 · Kolek +3
Kolek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.80 / Kolek 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Staszczyk)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13110240
Staszczyk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 153 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it87% 61 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 109 of 131
Kolek1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 185 of 465
Down 0–1, comes back22% 60 of 277
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStaszczyk2wins
AwayKolek2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk2Kolek2n = 4split evenly
S2Staszczyk3Kolek1n = 4Staszczyk took 3 of 4
S3Staszczyk1Kolek3n = 4Kolek took 3 of 4
S4Staszczyk3Kolek1n = 4Staszczyk took 3 of 4
S5Staszczyk1Kolek2n = 3Kolek took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStaszczykKolekS − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match44.544.8−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 329 vs 685 / 137956.5%49.7%186 / 329 vs 685 / 1379Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.80/Kolek 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 28 · 18:30K. Staszczyk—711117102M. Kolek—119911123
WMay 31 · 13:00K. Staszczyk—1191011113M. Kolek—71112992
LMay 31 · 04:10K. Staszczyk—71151142M. Kolek—114119113
WMay 21 · 16:55K. Staszczyk—11119113M. Kolek—691171
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 11 · 12:35K. Staszczyk2.905890M. Miastowski1.321111113LSep 11 · 11:20K. Staszczyk2.6586111412M. Nowalinski1.381111712113WSep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.858101191K. Staszczyk1.8511128113LSep 11 · 09:20K. Staszczyk1.951071171K. Wisniewski1.7412119113WSep 10 · 20:05J. Mitas2.00111116862K. Staszczyk1.73561811113WSep 10 · 19:15J. Chmielowski1.9168111192K. Staszczyk1.80111139113LSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631LSep 10 · 16:30K. Kapik1.671111113K. Staszczyk2.107820LSep 10 · 15:00M. Olbrycht1.8311119113K. Staszczyk1.83991111WSep 10 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.73111212113M. Olbrycht2.006101471
M. Kolek10
WSep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.70381191M. Kolek1.9511118113WSep 11 · 12:10M. Kolek2.4091111113K. Wisniewski1.47114461WSep 11 · 10:30M. Kolek2.5512114113M. Nowalinski1.421091151LSep 11 · 09:45M. Miastowski1.3791112113M. Kolek2.701191081WSep 11 · 24:10J. Chmielowski1.831168121M. Kolek1.8381111143WSep 10 · 23:45M. Kolek2.381111113K. Kapik1.537570WSep 10 · 22:55M. Kolek2.10111176113J. Mitas1.6786111172LSep 10 · 21:00M. Kolek2.381110761M. Olbrycht1.5381211113WSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Kolek3.0088121162J. Kuzmicz1.361111108113
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