Filip Mlynarski vs Patryk Jendrzejewski 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115870

Played Sep 12Finished

Filip Mlynarski

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1167111191311––

Patryk Jendrzejewski

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:15 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%

Graded at full time

Patryk Jendrzejewski to win

60.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Patryk Jendrzejewski below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 7-7

Point 69 set 4, 7-7 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 60.5%

69 points drawn · the score is 10 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

H2H Filip Mlynarski 5–5 Patryk Jendrzejewski Dead even across their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 16:15

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Mlynarski

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

5-5 in 10

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Mlynarski 1663 vs Jendrzejewski 1608

Mlynarski

Correct

both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Mlynarski 20% vs Jendrzejewski 60%

Jendrzejewski

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Mlynarski 20% vs Jendrzejewski 40%

Jendrzejewski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Mlynarski +1 · Jendrzejewski +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mlynarski) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jendrzejewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMlynarski 1.67 / Jendrzejewski 2.10

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Mlynarski)-1.8pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13115870

Mlynarski1.67

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite64% won 141 of 221

Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it80% 102 of 128

Jendrzejewski2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog43% won 86 of 199

Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 97

Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 59

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMlynarski5wins

AwayJendrzejewski5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMlynarski66.7%2 of 3

AwayJendrzejewski57.1%4 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mlynarski3Jendrzejewski7n = 10Jendrzejewski took 7 of 10

S2Mlynarski6Jendrzejewski4n = 10Mlynarski took 6 of 10

S3Mlynarski5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly

S4Mlynarski4Jendrzejewski3n = 7Mlynarski took 4 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricMlynarskiJendrzejewskiM − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.236.4+0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMlynarskiJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 294 vs 353 / 72155.8%49%164 / 294 vs 353 / 721Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mlynarski

Mlynarski 1.67/Jendrzejewski 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Mlynarski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Mlynarski won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 6 · 24:35F. Mlynarski2596100P. Jendrzejewski341111123

LSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski2591060P. Jendrzejewski341112113

LAug 30 · 22:35F. Mlynarski331011391P. Jendrzejewski3612211113

WAug 30 · 17:40F. Mlynarski4311128123P. Jendrzejewski4091011101

WAug 29 · 22:55F. Mlynarski537111311113P. Jendrzejewski4411715562

WAug 29 · 20:05F. Mlynarski4061111123P. Jendrzejewski351195101

LAug 16 · 22:10F. Mlynarski29571161P. Jendrzejewski4011117113

WAug 16 · 17:40F. Mlynarski331111113P. Jendrzejewski197840

LAug 16 · 24:35F. Mlynarski46117117102P. Jendrzejewski43211711123

WAug 15 · 16:55F. Mlynarski45101311113P. Jendrzejewski391211881

F. Mlynarski10

WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113 LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162 LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123 LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172 LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113 LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113 LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113 WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011 LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113 LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100

P. Jendrzejewski10

WSep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61111282113M. Kolek2.20610111152 WSep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.5011116113J. Mitas2.50771151 WSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980 LSep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.838950K. Staszczyk1.831111113 LSep 11 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski1.531191111102M. Marchlewski2.38131159123 WSep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.911212113T. Filbrandt1.80101090 LSep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44711121162J. Mitas2.63116143113 LSep 11 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.6191111782M. Marchlewski2.20117511113 LSep 11 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.50881141K. Strowski1.5011115113 WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100

Upcoming Matches

F. Mlynarski

Sep 12 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.36M. Marchlewski3.00—Sep 12 · 18:30F. Mlynarski2.20J. Kuzmicz1.61—Sep 12 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.53M. Kolek2.38—Sep 12 · 21:25F. Mlynarski1.73T. Filbrandt2.00—Sep 12 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.36M. Marchlewski3.00—Sep 12 · 22:55F. Mlynarski1.67P. Jendrzejewski2.10—Sep 13 · 24:35F. Mlynarski1.83D. Jadam1.83—Sep 13 · 15:00F. Mlynarski—G. Kesik——Sep 13 · 16:05F. Mlynarski—M. Kolek——Sep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski—L. Pietraszko——

P. Jendrzejewski

Sep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—Sep 12 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.53M. Marchlewski2.38—Sep 12 · 19:40P. Jendrzejewski2.20J. Kuzmicz1.61—Sep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53M. Marchlewski2.38—Sep 12 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski2.10F. Mlynarski1.67—Sep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.73D. Jadam1.91—Sep 13 · 24:10P. Jendrzejewski1.83T. Filbrandt1.83—

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