TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118245
Played Sep 12Finished
Radoslaw Malinowski
Home
4.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811711––––
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
1.16
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Malinowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
611811711––––
H2H Radoslaw Malinowski 4–14 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Radoslaw Malinowski has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Poliniewicz beat Malinowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:34What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.16 (78%)
Poliniewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-14 in 18
Poliniewicz
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Malinowski 1395 vs Poliniewicz 1687
Poliniewicz
Correct
both rated, 292 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malinowski 0% vs Poliniewicz 60%
Poliniewicz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malinowski 30% vs Poliniewicz 60%
Poliniewicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Malinowski -5 · Poliniewicz +1
Malinowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalinowski 4.20 / Poliniewicz 1.16
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13118245
Malinowski4.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 34 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Poliniewicz1.16
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 331 of 465
Up 2–0, closes it95% 145 of 153
Up 1–0, closes it85% 241 of 285
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMalinowski1wins
AwayPoliniewicz9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMalinowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPoliniewicz100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Malinowski2Poliniewicz8n = 10Poliniewicz took 8 of 10
S2Malinowski2Poliniewicz8n = 10Poliniewicz took 8 of 10
S3Malinowski2Poliniewicz8n = 10Poliniewicz took 8 of 10
S4Malinowski2Poliniewicz3n = 5Poliniewicz took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalinowskiPoliniewiczM − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.537.1−8.6per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalinowskiPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 513 vs 1248 / 211347.8%59.1%245 / 513 vs 1248 / 2113Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczMalinowski 4.20/Poliniewicz 1.16
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski235990G. Poliniewicz331111113
LAug 9 · 04:00R. Malinowski203980G. Poliniewicz331111113
LApr 18 · 05:20R. Malinowski5181581192G. Poliniewicz551113119113
LMar 22 · 06:45R. Malinowski186930G. Poliniewicz331111113
LMar 22 · 04:30R. Malinowski30117571G. Poliniewicz4071111113
WFeb 8 · 08:55R. Malinowski3711411113G. Poliniewicz28211781
LJan 17 · 10:05R. Malinowski2575130G. Poliniewicz371111153
LDec 6 · 08:55R. Malinowski218490G. Poliniewicz331111113
LNov 9 · 08:30R. Malinowski22211721G. Poliniewicz4211911113
LNov 9 · 06:00R. Malinowski38991191G. Poliniewicz3711114113
R. Malinowski10
LSep 12 · 13:00D. Solilo1.5011119113R. Malinowski2.30841191LSep 12 · 10:30R. Malinowski2.60117791M. Kolek1.4261111113LSep 12 · 09:45G. Kesik1.90111011113R. Malinowski1.80612761LSep 12 · 08:30K. Rudomina1.801111113R. Malinowski1.867990LSep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski4.205990G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.8611611113R. Malinowski1.80511691LSep 12 · 04:50K. Wisniewski1.27812118113R. Malinowski3.25111051172WSep 12 · 03:20D. Solilo1.54101111882R. Malinowski2.25128511113LAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113WAug 9 · 12:35R. Malinowski1.65511911113T. Piotrowski2.1011711672
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 12 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz1.80127811113M. Kolek1.90101111882WSep 12 · 10:55G. Kesik1.7511116262G. Poliniewicz1.90641111113LSep 12 · 09:20K. Rudomina4.001110911113G. Poliniewicz1.1891211442LSep 12 · 08:05K. Wisniewski1.8011611123G. Poliniewicz1.905119101WSep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski4.205990G. Poliniewicz1.161111113WSep 12 · 05:15D. Solilo2.7081611982G. Poliniewicz1.401114811113WSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113WSep 12 · 03:00K. Rudomina3.5511441152G. Poliniewicz1.25911118113LSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113LSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143
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