TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120753
Played Sep 13Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
1.24
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114911131113151311
Milosz Piecowski
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilosz Piecowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
111 points played in total.
Set by set
114911131113151311
H2H Maciej Kolek 14–12 Milosz Piecowski Milosz Piecowski has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:11What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.24 (73%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Kolek
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1649 vs Piecowski 1355
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 294 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 60% vs Piecowski 40%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 40% vs Piecowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -1 · Piecowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piecowski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.24 / Piecowski 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Kolek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13120753
Kolek1.24
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 255 of 424
Up 2–0, closes it94% 92 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it81% 192 of 238
Piecowski3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 124 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek5wins
AwayPiecowski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek71.4%5 of 7
AwayPiecowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek7Piecowski3n = 10Kolek took 7 of 10
S2Kolek2Piecowski8n = 10Piecowski took 8 of 10
S3Kolek5Piecowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolek5Piecowski5n = 10split evenly
S5Kolek3Piecowski2n = 5Kolek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekPiecowskiK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.643.1+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime691 / 1393 vs 821 / 169949.6%48.3%691 / 1393 vs 821 / 1699Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.24/Piecowski 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.1%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 20 · 16:55M. Kolek4611811792M. Piecowski48811711113
WMay 5 · 04:55M. Kolek5511101211113M. Piecowski4481214642
LApr 28 · 04:55M. Kolek45145111142M. Piecowski54161188113
WApr 22 · 15:00M. Kolek521110116143M. Piecowski49912511122
LApr 8 · 19:20M. Kolek361171081M. Piecowski4391112113
LMar 22 · 14:10M. Kolek4011118101M. Piecowski4313711123
WMar 18 · 17:15M. Kolek4111118113M. Piecowski29841161
LMar 8 · 16:05M. Kolek378101181M. Piecowski4211128113
WMar 4 · 21:30M. Kolek4111811113M. Piecowski32611691
WMar 3 · 01:10M. Kolek531181111123M. Piecowski47611137102
M. Kolek10
LSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo1.8511118113M. Kolek1.85371181WSep 13 · 10:55G. Kesik2.65631121M. Kolek1.4011118113LSep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80119511113M. Kolek1.3481111982WSep 12 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.506116121M. Kolek2.5011511143WSep 12 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.53411111172M. Kolek2.38118913113LSep 12 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.36111188113M. Kolek3.0068111192LSep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61111282113M. Kolek2.20610111152LSep 12 · 15:00M. Marchlewski1.731011115113M. Kolek2.0012561162WSep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.5513580M. Kolek1.451511113LSep 12 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz1.80127811113M. Kolek1.90101111882
M. Piecowski10
WSep 13 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.7011115111M. Piecowski2.0071311133LSep 13 · 10:30D. Solilo1.3311912163M. Piecowski2.9061110141LSep 13 · 09:00T. Piotrowski1.80911118113M. Piecowski1.9011671152WSep 13 · 08:05T. Piotrowski1.7010770M. Piecowski2.001211113LSep 13 · 07:15D. Solilo1.33111112123M. Piecowski2.907514101LSep 13 · 05:15J. Glanowski1.47101111133M. Piecowski2.391289111LSep 13 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.581112113M. Piecowski2.1591070LSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270
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