TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122451
Played Sep 13Finished
Tadeusz Piotrowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911116117811115
Milosz Piecowski
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:34 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeTadeusz Piotrowski to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
911116117811115
H2H Tadeusz Piotrowski 14–8 Milosz Piecowski Milosz Piecowski has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Piecowski beat Piotrowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Piotrowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-8 in 22
Piotrowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piotrowski 1336 vs Piecowski 1356
Piecowski
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piotrowski 20% vs Piecowski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piotrowski 40% vs Piecowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piotrowski -1 · Piecowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Piecowski) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piecowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiotrowski 1.80 / Piecowski 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Piecowski)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13122451
Piotrowski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 184 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it93% 87 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it80% 135 of 169
Piecowski1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 124 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePiotrowski7wins
AwayPiecowski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPiotrowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiotrowski87.5%7 of 8
AwayPiecowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piotrowski8Piecowski2n = 10Piotrowski took 8 of 10
S2Piotrowski5Piecowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Piotrowski6Piecowski4n = 10Piotrowski took 6 of 10
S4Piotrowski5Piecowski1n = 6Piotrowski took 5 of 6
S5Piotrowski1Piecowski2n = 3Piecowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPiotrowskiPiecowskiPiotrowski − PiecowskiBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.734.6+6.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiotrowskiPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime587 / 913 vs 820 / 169664.3%48.4%587 / 913 vs 820 / 1696Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiecowskiPiotrowski 1.80/Piecowski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Piecowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Piotrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 08:05T. Piotrowski2410770M. Piecowski341211113
WMar 22 · 06:40T. Piotrowski4411911133M. Piecowski324116111
WMar 21 · 12:50T. Piotrowski331111113M. Piecowski228860
WJan 24 · 12:50T. Piotrowski331111113M. Piecowski196760
WDec 13 · 04:30T. Piotrowski371115113M. Piecowski2431380
WNov 9 · 14:55T. Piotrowski44111111113M. Piecowski33771361
LOct 11 · 11:50T. Piotrowski46115101192M. Piecowski50711129113
WOct 11 · 05:40T. Piotrowski4211811123M. Piecowski346117101
LSep 13 · 13:55T. Piotrowski51811148102M. Piecowski531171211123
WSep 7 · 11:25T. Piotrowski531191111113M. Piecowski4591113482
T. Piotrowski10
WSep 13 · 10:05T. Piotrowski2.001211113P. Maruszak1.7110670LSep 13 · 08:05T. Piotrowski1.7010770M. Piecowski2.001211113WSep 13 · 06:25J. Glanowski1.6011136982T. Piotrowski2.103111111113LSep 13 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.7311811113T. Piotrowski1.92311891LSep 13 · 04:50T. Piotrowski2.6061112652D. Solilo1.411171011113LSep 13 · 03:40T. Piotrowski1.836740I. Dabrowski1.871111113WSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560WSep 6 · 12:40T. Piotrowski1.311111113F. Jablonski3.208930LSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113WSep 6 · 10:10K. Golaszewski2.474101151T. Piotrowski1.4611128113
M. Piecowski10
WSep 13 · 08:05T. Piotrowski1.7010770M. Piecowski2.001211113LSep 13 · 07:15D. Solilo1.33111112123M. Piecowski2.907514101LSep 13 · 05:15J. Glanowski1.47101111133M. Piecowski2.391289111LSep 13 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.581112113M. Piecowski2.1591070LSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991LSep 2 · 21:30M. Piecowski1.6071110101W. Gluszek2.1011912123WSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691
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