TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120846
Played Sep 13Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181151210––––
Milosz Piecowski
Away
2.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1181151210––––
H2H Piotr Maruszak 7–4 Milosz Piecowski Milosz Piecowski has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Maruszak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Maruszak
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1395 vs Piecowski 1382
Maruszak
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 80% vs Piecowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 50% vs Piecowski 70%
Piecowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak +2 · Piecowski +3
Piecowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Maruszak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piecowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 1.57 / Piecowski 2.17
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Maruszak)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13120846
Maruszak1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 25 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Piecowski2.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 124 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaruszak6wins
AwayPiecowski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaruszak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszak75%3 of 4
AwayPiecowski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak4Piecowski6n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S2Maruszak8Piecowski2n = 10Maruszak took 8 of 10
S3Maruszak4Piecowski6n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S4Maruszak3Piecowski4n = 8Piecowski took 4 of 8
S5Maruszak2Piecowski1n = 3Maruszak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaruszakPiecowskiM − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.837.7+3.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 499 vs 862 / 174547.5%49.4%237 / 499 vs 862 / 1745Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakMaruszak 1.57/Piecowski 2.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maruszak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJan 24 · 06:00P. Maruszak461011113113M. Piecowski4112731182
WJan 9 · 17:15P. Maruszak49711911113M. Piecowski4311611962
LJan 2 · 07:30P. Maruszak331212361M. Piecowski46101411113
WDec 6 · 15:00P. Maruszak43101111112M. Piecowski331264111
LDec 6 · 09:45P. Maruszak46911115102M. Piecowski43114511123
WOct 17 · 10:35P. Maruszak331111113M. Piecowski248970
LSep 27 · 17:50P. Maruszak3091290M. Piecowski361114113
WSep 7 · 10:35P. Maruszak4211119113M. Piecowski33681181
LAug 24 · 03:05P. Maruszak439111491M. Piecowski4511716113
WJun 14 · 07:55P. Maruszak43111110113M. Piecowski33781261
P. Maruszak10
WSep 12 · 14:20J. Przewlocki2.461115861P. Maruszak1.4451711113WSep 12 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.7711511992P. Maruszak1.93511411113LSep 12 · 11:25J. Rolak2.7511811163P. Maruszak1.404117141WSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123WSep 12 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.861161271P. Maruszak1.8071114113LSep 12 · 07:40D. Solilo1.541111113P. Maruszak2.258930LSep 12 · 06:50K. Rudomina1.8511911113P. Maruszak1.85911481WSep 12 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.8611611113R. Malinowski1.80511691LSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 03:40K. Wisniewski1.301111123P. Maruszak3.2585100
M. Piecowski10
WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991LSep 2 · 21:30M. Piecowski1.6071110101W. Gluszek2.1011912123WSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101WSep 2 · 17:45M. Piecowski1.55101211123W. Gluszek2.2512108101WSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113LSep 1 · 24:35B. Mrugala2.171111113M. Piecowski1.597880
Upcoming Matches
P. Maruszak
Sep 13 · 04:00P. Maruszak2.02J. Glanowski1.65—Sep 13 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.73T. Piotrowski1.92—Sep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.83I. Dabrowski1.81—Sep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak2.40D. Solilo1.46—Sep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80M. Kolek1.34—Sep 13 · 10:05P. Maruszak1.68T. Piotrowski1.98—Sep 13 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.57M. Piecowski2.17—Sep 13 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.94G. Kesik1.71—
M. Piecowski
Sep 13 · 04:25M. Piecowski2.15I. Dabrowski1.58—Sep 13 · 05:15M. Piecowski2.39J. Glanowski1.47—Sep 13 · 07:15M. Piecowski2.90D. Solilo1.33—Sep 13 · 08:05M. Piecowski2.01T. Piotrowski1.66—Sep 13 · 09:00M. Piecowski2.01T. Piotrowski1.66—Sep 13 · 10:30M. Piecowski2.90D. Solilo1.33—Sep 13 · 11:20M. Piecowski2.17P. Maruszak1.57—Sep 13 · 13:25M. Piecowski3.40M. Kolek1.24—
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