TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118268
Played Sep 12Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1176111214711––
Piotr Maruszak
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1176111214711––
H2H Igor Dabrowski 6–8 Piotr Maruszak Igor Dabrowski has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:42What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Maruszak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Maruszak
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1350 vs Maruszak 1371
Maruszak
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 40% vs Maruszak 20%
Dabrowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 40% vs Maruszak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski -1 · Maruszak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maruszak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.86 / Maruszak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maruszak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13118268
Dabrowski1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 126 of 307
Down 0–1, comes back21% 37 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 87
Maruszak1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 23 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDabrowski5wins
AwayMaruszak5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowski100%3 of 3
AwayMaruszak71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski3Maruszak7n = 10Maruszak took 7 of 10
S2Dabrowski8Maruszak2n = 10Dabrowski took 8 of 10
S3Dabrowski4Maruszak6n = 10Maruszak took 6 of 10
S4Dabrowski7Maruszak2n = 9Dabrowski took 7 of 9
S5Dabrowski0Maruszak3n = 3Maruszak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDabrowskiMaruszakD − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.137.4+1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiMaruszakBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1596 vs 235 / 49950.3%47.1%803 / 1596 vs 235 / 499Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakDabrowski 1.86/Maruszak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maruszak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 1 · 07:20I. Dabrowski—71161162P. Maruszak—118119113
WApr 9 · 09:50I. Dabrowski—13114113P. Maruszak—1161181
LFeb 8 · 12:20I. Dabrowski—81180P. Maruszak—1113113
WJan 11 · 06:45I. Dabrowski—61111113P. Maruszak—117791
LSep 27 · 15:55I. Dabrowski—71181142P. Maruszak—118115103
WSep 27 · 14:40I. Dabrowski—91111113P. Maruszak—114751
WJun 14 · 09:55I. Dabrowski—121211113P. Maruszak—1014441
LJun 14 · 07:10I. Dabrowski—511761P. Maruszak—11811113
WMay 10 · 11:55I. Dabrowski—111111113P. Maruszak—451321
LMay 10 · 07:10I. Dabrowski—51111972P. Maruszak—118911113
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 12 · 08:10I. Dabrowski1.41114961B. Wisniewski2.6051111113WSep 12 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski2.65101191282I. Dabrowski1.401291110113LSep 12 · 05:40J. Przewlocki2.1511911113I. Dabrowski1.60511681LSep 12 · 04:55I. Dabrowski1.3791011121J. Rolak2.7011127143WSep 12 · 03:50I. Dabrowski1.95512311113J. Glanowski1.77111011862LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113WSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123
P. Maruszak10
LSep 12 · 07:40D. Solilo1.541111113P. Maruszak2.258930LSep 12 · 06:50K. Rudomina1.8511911113P. Maruszak1.85911481WSep 12 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.8611611113R. Malinowski1.80511691LSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 03:40K. Wisniewski1.301111123P. Maruszak3.2585100LAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.85711661P. Staniszewski1.8011511113WAug 2 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.5011511113A. Mugowski2.45611861WAug 2 · 10:05M. Zagajewski1.85211791P. Maruszak1.8011911113LAug 2 · 09:20P. Maruszak1.5551070T. Piotrowski2.251112113
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