TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116485
Played Sep 12Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.37
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91110121171214––
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
2.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
91110121171214––
H2H Igor Dabrowski 0–1 Jaroslaw Rolak Igor Dabrowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (66%)
Dabrowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1389 vs Rolak 1248
Dabrowski
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 60% vs Rolak 20%
Dabrowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 50% vs Rolak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski +1 · Rolak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Dabrowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolak form (20%) is below what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.37 / Rolak 2.70
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Dabrowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13116485
Dabrowski1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it97% 101 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it75% 163 of 218
Rolak2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 191 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back19% 52 of 276
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDabrowski0wins
AwayRolak1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRolak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDabrowskiRolakD − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.052.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime805 / 1597 vs 654 / 143450.4%45.6%805 / 1597 vs 654 / 1434Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiDabrowski 1.37/Rolak 2.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJan 4 · 14:55I. Dabrowski—412111042J. Rolak—1110812113
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 12 · 05:40J. Przewlocki2.1511911113I. Dabrowski1.60511681WSep 12 · 03:50I. Dabrowski1.95512311113J. Glanowski1.77111011862LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113WSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123LSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113WSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113
J. Rolak10
LSep 12 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.86581111123J. Rolak1.83111178102WSep 11 · 24:10J. Rolak2.35411911113K. Klocek1.5311211362LSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113LSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Rolak1.751011111062K. Golaszewski1.89128512113WSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113LSep 10 · 19:20J. Rolak2.5011813982K. Klocek1.433111111113WSep 10 · 18:10B. Wisniewski1.86811951J. Rolak1.8011611113LSep 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9512911113J. Rolak1.701011961WSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz1.86513111082J. Rolak1.831111912113
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