TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109820
Played Sep 11Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411112911113116
Kamil Klocek
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeKamil Klocek to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
411112911113116
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 28–41 Kamil Klocek Jaroslaw Rolak has won 28 of their 69 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Klocek beat Rolak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Klocek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-41 in 69
Klocek
Wrong
gap of 13 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1244 vs Klocek 1343
Klocek
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 20% vs Klocek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 40% vs Klocek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak -3 · Klocek -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Klocek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klocek form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 2.35 / Klocek 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Klocek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13109820
Rolak2.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 191 of 507
Down 0–1, comes back18% 51 of 278
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 125
Klocek1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 251 of 403
Up 2–0, closes it96% 133 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it82% 192 of 235
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolak2wins
AwayKlocek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKlocek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolak50%2 of 4
AwayKlocek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak4Klocek6n = 10Klocek took 6 of 10
S2Rolak3Klocek7n = 10Klocek took 7 of 10
S3Rolak5Klocek5n = 10split evenly
S4Rolak2Klocek3n = 5Klocek took 3 of 5
S5Rolak0Klocek3n = 3Klocek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolakKlocekR − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.337.4−4.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakKlocekBasisWin rate · lifetime658 / 1443 vs 452 / 86145.6%52.5%658 / 1443 vs 452 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlocekRolak 2.35/Klocek 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Klocek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 19:20J. Rolak—11813982K. Klocek—3111111113
LSep 9 · 24:10J. Rolak—7570K. Klocek—1111113
LSep 8 · 19:20J. Rolak—711614102K. Klocek—1171112123
WAug 27 · 22:15J. Rolak—1111113K. Klocek—7970
LJul 16 · 23:45J. Rolak—6770K. Klocek—1111113
WJul 16 · 21:20J. Rolak—1312113K. Klocek—111050
LJul 16 · 19:20J. Rolak—47111192K. Klocek—111194113
LJul 14 · 23:45J. Rolak—781151K. Klocek—11116113
LJul 14 · 21:20J. Rolak—4880K. Klocek—1111113
LJul 2 · 15:25J. Rolak—116991K. Klocek—81111113
J. Rolak10
LSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113LSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Rolak1.751011111062K. Golaszewski1.89128512113WSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113LSep 10 · 19:20J. Rolak2.5011813982K. Klocek1.433111111113WSep 10 · 18:10B. Wisniewski1.86811951J. Rolak1.8011611113LSep 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9512911113J. Rolak1.701011961WSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz1.86513111082J. Rolak1.831111912113LSep 9 · 24:10J. Rolak2.467570K. Klocek1.441111113WSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak1.8011117113K. Golaszewski1.86871131
K. Klocek10
LSep 10 · 23:45K. Klocek1.805480M. Trela1.851111113LSep 10 · 22:55K. Klocek1.426930K. Golaszewski2.551111113LSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113LSep 10 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.65712119133K. Klocek1.391110711112WSep 10 · 19:20J. Rolak2.5011813982K. Klocek1.433111111113LSep 10 · 17:20A. Eliasz2.37111110113K. Klocek1.48791291WSep 10 · 16:35B. Wisniewski2.389870K. Klocek1.471111113LSep 10 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.5591111113K. Klocek1.41114981WSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 9 · 24:10J. Rolak2.467570K. Klocek1.441111113
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