TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116472
Played Sep 12Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
2.65
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121199111210811
Igor Dabrowski
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
10121199111210811
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 12–23 Igor Dabrowski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 12 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:23What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Dabrowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-23 in 35
Dabrowski
Correct
gap of 11 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1289 vs Dabrowski 1367
Dabrowski
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 100% vs Dabrowski 40%
Poloszczanski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 60% vs Dabrowski 40%
Poloszczanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski +5 · Dabrowski -2
Poloszczanski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dabrowski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dabrowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 2.65 / Dabrowski 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Dabrowski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13116472
Poloszczanski2.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 129 of 331
Down 0–1, comes back23% 45 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 110
Dabrowski1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it97% 101 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it75% 163 of 218
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski1wins
AwayDabrowski9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDabrowski leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDabrowski100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski2Dabrowski8n = 10Dabrowski took 8 of 10
S2Poloszczanski3Dabrowski7n = 10Dabrowski took 7 of 10
S3Poloszczanski5Dabrowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Poloszczanski2Dabrowski4n = 6Dabrowski took 4 of 6
S5Poloszczanski0Dabrowski3n = 3Dabrowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiDabrowskiP − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.841.4−8.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiDabrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 834 vs 804 / 159739.5%50.3%329 / 834 vs 804 / 1597Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiPoloszczanski 2.65/Dabrowski 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.4%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski—101191282I. Dabrowski—1291110113
LAug 16 · 04:00D. Poloszczanski—971211102I. Dabrowski—1111109123
LAug 15 · 06:00D. Poloszczanski—913961I. Dabrowski—111111113
LJul 12 · 06:50D. Poloszczanski—8340I. Dabrowski—1111113
LJul 12 · 04:25D. Poloszczanski—8760I. Dabrowski—1111113
LJun 20 · 13:00D. Poloszczanski—2380I. Dabrowski—1111113
LJun 13 · 10:35D. Poloszczanski—11411742I. Dabrowski—711911113
LJun 13 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski—1551151I. Dabrowski—17119113
LJan 25 · 10:45D. Poloszczanski—4111181I. Dabrowski—11139113
WDec 19 · 14:50D. Poloszczanski—1114113I. Dabrowski—41280
D. Poloszczanski10
WSep 12 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski2.8511117123J. Glanowski1.386811101WSep 12 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.801111113B. Wisniewski1.859680WSep 12 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.661511891D. Poloszczanski2.0117711113WSep 12 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.86581111123J. Rolak1.83111178102WSep 12 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski1.951112109113W. Gluszek1.75710121162WSep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.90111191092D. Poloszczanski1.80461112113WSep 11 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.85511611113K. Sulkowski1.8011311752LSep 11 · 21:55K. Marchlewski1.9511711113D. Poloszczanski1.75711791LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 12 · 05:40J. Przewlocki2.1511911113I. Dabrowski1.60511681LSep 12 · 04:55I. Dabrowski1.3791011121J. Rolak2.7011127143WSep 12 · 03:50I. Dabrowski1.95512311113J. Glanowski1.77111011862LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113WSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123LSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113WSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171
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