TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116484
Played Sep 12Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeDawid Poloszczanski to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
119116118––––
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 28–15 Bartlomiej Wisniewski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 15 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Poloszczanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-15 in 43
Poloszczanski
Correct
gap of 13 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1286 vs Wisniewski 1231
Poloszczanski
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 100% vs Wisniewski 20%
Poloszczanski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 50% vs Wisniewski 20%
Poloszczanski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski +5 · Wisniewski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poloszczanski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 1.80 / Wisniewski 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Poloszczanski)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13116484
Poloszczanski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 54 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Wisniewski1.85
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 180 of 464
Down 0–1, comes back15% 40 of 261
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski7wins
AwayWisniewski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPoloszczanski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski100%6 of 6
AwayWisniewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski6Wisniewski4n = 10Poloszczanski took 6 of 10
S2Poloszczanski6Wisniewski4n = 10Poloszczanski took 6 of 10
S3Poloszczanski7Wisniewski3n = 10Poloszczanski took 7 of 10
S4Poloszczanski6Wisniewski2n = 8Poloszczanski took 6 of 8
S5Poloszczanski1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiWisniewskiP − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.938.9+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 832 vs 899 / 188539.4%47.7%328 / 832 vs 899 / 1885Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoloszczanskiPoloszczanski 1.80/Wisniewski 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Poloszczanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Poloszczanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 11:50D. Poloszczanski—2811101B. Wisniewski—11116123
WAug 2 · 09:25D. Poloszczanski—711811113B. Wisniewski—11711962
WAug 2 · 05:40D. Poloszczanski—12711113B. Wisniewski—1011991
WAug 1 · 11:50D. Poloszczanski—111111113B. Wisniewski—913981
LAug 1 · 08:10D. Poloszczanski—711118122B. Wisniewski—118911143
WJul 12 · 10:35D. Poloszczanski—1112113B. Wisniewski—81070
WJun 21 · 11:25D. Poloszczanski—111011113B. Wisniewski—612671
LJun 21 · 06:55D. Poloszczanski—71181182B. Wisniewski—119119113
WJun 14 · 11:00D. Poloszczanski—111217113B. Wisniewski—9101981
WJun 13 · 11:25D. Poloszczanski—1111113B. Wisniewski—9660
D. Poloszczanski10
WSep 12 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.661511891D. Poloszczanski2.0117711113WSep 12 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.86581111123J. Rolak1.83111178102WSep 12 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski1.951112109113W. Gluszek1.75710121162WSep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.90111191092D. Poloszczanski1.80461112113WSep 11 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.85511611113K. Sulkowski1.8011311752LSep 11 · 21:55K. Marchlewski1.9511711113D. Poloszczanski1.75711791LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 12 · 04:30J. Glanowski1.50711116113B. Wisniewski2.3511991172LSep 12 · 03:00J. Przewlocki1.74911159113B. Wisniewski1.95116131192LSep 11 · 08:10M. Zagajewski1.528111011113B. Wisniewski2.3711812992WSep 11 · 07:20R. Stapor1.358911111B. Wisniewski2.8011113133LSep 11 · 05:15M. Trela1.60561111123B. Wisniewski2.20111196102LSep 11 · 04:30J. Glanowski1.351111113B. Wisniewski2.953890LSep 11 · 03:00M. Misiak1.46111114113B. Wisniewski2.55881691WSep 10 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.8612750B. Wisniewski1.831411113LSep 10 · 18:55M. Lukaszewski1.95119811113B. Wisniewski1.7491111792LSep 10 · 18:10B. Wisniewski1.86811951J. Rolak1.8011611113
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