TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114787
Played Sep 11Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511113611117115
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
511113611117115
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 8–13 Karol Sulkowski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:10What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1219 vs Sulkowski 1331
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 0% vs Sulkowski 80%
Sulkowski
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 10% vs Sulkowski 70%
Sulkowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski -5 · Sulkowski +1
Poloszczanski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 1.85 / Sulkowski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sulkowski)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13114787
Poloszczanski1.85
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 129 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back22% 43 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 111
Sulkowski1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 223 of 412
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski3wins
AwaySulkowski7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski33.3%2 of 6
AwaySulkowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski6Sulkowski4n = 10Poloszczanski took 6 of 10
S2Poloszczanski3Sulkowski7n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Poloszczanski5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Poloszczanski7Sulkowski3n = 10Poloszczanski took 7 of 10
S5Poloszczanski0Sulkowski5n = 5Sulkowski took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiSulkowskiP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.7−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 827 vs 636 / 128339.1%49.6%323 / 827 vs 636 / 1283Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiPoloszczanski 1.85/Sulkowski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poloszczanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski—681171K. Sulkowski—11118113
LJul 26 · 01:00D. Poloszczanski—84111172K. Sulkowski—111157113
WJul 25 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski—11117113K. Sulkowski—651171
LJul 11 · 08:05D. Poloszczanski—126114102K. Sulkowski—1011911123
WJul 11 · 05:35D. Poloszczanski—31112113K. Sulkowski—1151071
WJun 1 · 16:45D. Poloszczanski—12119113K. Sulkowski—1071181
LMay 17 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski—11971152K. Sulkowski—611116113
LMay 16 · 08:10D. Poloszczanski—111191182K. Sulkowski—413114113
LMay 10 · 11:25D. Poloszczanski—1181291K. Sulkowski—131110113
LMay 10 · 07:20D. Poloszczanski—11851182K. Sulkowski—711117113
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 11 · 21:55K. Marchlewski1.9511711113D. Poloszczanski1.75711791LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030WSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113LSep 5 · 16:15B. Sulkowski1.6011116113D. Poloszczanski2.15791181LSep 5 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski3.50119101172A. Lilien1.25911128113
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 11 · 22:15K. Sulkowski1.851111123W. Gluszek1.8567100LSep 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.151111113K. Sulkowski1.617880WSep 11 · 20:30K. Sulkowski1.52101112163K. Marchlewski2.3012810141WSep 11 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.801111113P. Strus1.908760WSep 11 · 17:45K. Sulkowski2.0511118113D. Szlubowski1.68991171WSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171LSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 10 · 07:30K. Sulkowski1.8011114113D. Wrobel1.85791191LSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781
Upcoming Matches
D. Poloszczanski
Sep 11 · 23:45D. Poloszczanski1.80M. Lukaszewski1.90—Sep 12 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski1.96W. Gluszek1.69—Sep 12 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.86J. Rolak1.83—Sep 12 · 04:10D. Poloszczanski2.01J. Przewlocki1.66—Sep 12 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.91B. Wisniewski1.74—Sep 12 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski2.80I. Dabrowski1.35—
K. Sulkowski
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