TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118250
Played Sep 12Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1148111171614––
Piotr Maruszak
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1148111171614––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:35What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Maruszak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1240 vs Maruszak 1389
Maruszak
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 20% vs Maruszak 60%
Maruszak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 30% vs Maruszak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak -2 · Maruszak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Maruszak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 2.75 / Maruszak 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Maruszak)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13118250
Rolak2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 191 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back19% 52 of 276
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 122
Maruszak1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 23 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakMaruszakBasisWin rate · lifetime656 / 1440 vs 237 / 50145.6%47.3%656 / 1440 vs 237 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
MaruszakRolak 2.75/Maruszak 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rolak won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Rolak10
LSep 12 · 10:10I. Dabrowski1.50101111153J. Rolak2.401288131LSep 12 · 09:25J. Rolak3.15913151J. Glanowski1.28111111113WSep 12 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.7212129482J. Rolak2.0010101111113LSep 12 · 07:20J. Rolak1.9112811111B. Wisniewski1.7314115133LSep 12 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.301111113J. Rolak3.005690WSep 12 · 04:55I. Dabrowski1.3791011121J. Rolak2.7011127143LSep 12 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.86581111123J. Rolak1.83111178102WSep 11 · 24:10J. Rolak2.35411911113K. Klocek1.5311211362LSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113LSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113
P. Maruszak10
WSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123WSep 12 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.861161271P. Maruszak1.8071114113LSep 12 · 07:40D. Solilo1.541111113P. Maruszak2.258930LSep 12 · 06:50K. Rudomina1.8511911113P. Maruszak1.85911481WSep 12 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.8611611113R. Malinowski1.80511691LSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 03:40K. Wisniewski1.301111123P. Maruszak3.2585100LAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.85711661P. Staniszewski1.8011511113WAug 2 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.5011511113A. Mugowski2.45611861
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